@backd
#76,215350xee053feb861b7589c41ca07b314ed6cb32bf9bd7
~57d· 77 markets · 246 tradesVol: $81,8262026-08-04 17:44:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (49/67)20/20
0.38x (win $2,812 / loss $7,355)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8740/15
Sortino -1.9030/10
$-0.1513 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1116 (67 markets)6.9/10
25/40 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 288% of peak ($7,210 / $2,500)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+1,116
Consistent
25/40 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#18,898$921Vol: $55,146
⚽ SPORTS#336,707$5Vol: $14,139
💰 FINANCE#11,241$233Vol: $6,510
₿ CRYPTO#339,534$3Vol: $2,871
💻 TECH#241,893$-39Vol: $1,792
🎭 CULTURE#668,361$-7Vol: $1,296
📈 ECONOMICS#235,903$0Vol: $43
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,116
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,826
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
105B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,116
Vol: $81,826
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
49W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$1,116
Win Rate
73%
49W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-525
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,008 (1.7990485917007095% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$896
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$625
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$487
Iran leadership change by May 31?$253
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$185
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$135
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$61
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$24
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$19
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-7,210
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$-32
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-17
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-16
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$-11
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$-10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?$-7
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.097
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
801
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.170
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
55.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)3.8%
High (>55c)89.5%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 1:06:54 AM16 trades$7,0263 min
6/2/2026, 2:12:28 AM8 trades$4,4231 min
7/6/2026, 2:10:31 AM18 trades$3,9270 min
5/20/2026, 6:39:46 AM17 trades$3,4041 min
6/13/2026, 6:01:37 AM9 trades$3,3810 min
5/25/2026, 7:03:25 AM14 trades$2,8451 min
5/22/2026, 9:38:49 AM9 trades$2,7272 min
5/17/2026, 11:39:27 AM4 trades$2,4141 min
5/27/2026, 10:21:02 AM6 trades$2,1621 min
6/13/2026, 12:40:27 PM4 trades$1,8370 min
7/2/2026, 12:48:47 AM6 trades$1,6490 min
5/23/2026, 3:27:19 AM2 trades$1,6070 min
5/9/2026, 5:34:51 AM6 trades$1,2482 min
5/14/2026, 7:07:54 AM6 trades$1,2301 min
5/16/2026, 1:24:04 PM5 trades$1,2281 min
5/3/2026, 10:55:44 AM4 trades$1,1192 min
7/2/2026, 12:56:38 AM2 trades$7790 min
6/15/2026, 3:20:52 AM2 trades$6060 min
4/2/2026, 2:22:41 AM5 trades$2310 min
6/15/2026, 12:26:19 AM2 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
12-03
01-28
03-23
05-09
05-27
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M3.8 / H89.5