@FMPOL2026

#2,684,56686

0xeeccfdab38758452d4968be0aa18aa43ac45e9f0

~17d· 49 markets · 238 tradesVol: $2,5072026-08-04 16:19:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (29/48)15.2/20
1.77x (win $252 / loss $143)12.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.00015/15
Sortino 14.22110/10
$+0.3683 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 534 (48 markets)9.8/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($31 / $113)8.5/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,729,388$-176Vol: $2,479
₿ CRYPTO#911,750$-2Vol: $28

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-178
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,507
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
115B / 123S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $28
Week
$-23
Vol: $247
Month
$-23
Vol: $247
All Time
$-178
Vol: $2,507

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
29W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-178
Win Rate
60%
29W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.77x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $153 (0.8586761069903349% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$105
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$11
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$10
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$10
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$10
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$7
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$6

Top Losers

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-47
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-24
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-14
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$-8
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$-8
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?$-4
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$-4
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.253
Sortino
0.727
HHI
501
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.360
Kelly %
15.5%
Half-Kelly
7.8%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
40.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 412s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.27
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)70.4%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 2:20:55 PM6 trades$985 min
6/25/2026, 3:23:26 PM4 trades$721 min
8/3/2026, 2:05:03 AM8 trades$320 min
6/18/2026, 11:18:50 AM17 trades$308 min
7/10/2026, 10:47:22 AM16 trades$305 min
7/13/2026, 8:02:16 AM6 trades$200 min
6/20/2026, 10:29:04 AM6 trades$191 min
6/29/2026, 11:37:25 AM2 trades$170 min
6/20/2026, 11:05:59 AM6 trades$171 min
6/20/2026, 4:15:43 PM4 trades$171 min
6/29/2026, 4:12:34 PM2 trades$160 min
6/27/2026, 9:49:20 AM6 trades$163 min
7/9/2026, 3:47:17 PM4 trades$150 min
6/25/2026, 1:11:58 PM4 trades$140 min
7/5/2026, 2:02:49 AM2 trades$130 min
7/13/2026, 6:59:11 AM4 trades$130 min
6/19/2026, 7:27:20 AM4 trades$120 min
6/25/2026, 10:28:17 AM2 trades$110 min
6/18/2026, 11:41:41 AM6 trades$102 min
6/22/2026, 9:29:10 AM8 trades$102 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-19
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-29
07-09
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M20 / H70.4