@hodgerandall

#1,444,6307

0xef929cb2501350f55e631de2f27c225ba847716b

~32d· 61 markets · 129 tradesVol: $9,4682026-08-05 12:14:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (23/61)3.9/20
0.81x (win $10 / loss $12)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9370/15
Sortino -1.3040/10
$-0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3167 (61 markets)0/10
13/32 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 143% of peak ($8 / $6)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,028,618$-2Vol: $7,323
🎭 CULTURE#518,406$-1Vol: $2,013
₿ CRYPTO#545,518$0Vol: $89
💰 FINANCE#272,129$0Vol: $39
🏛️ POLITICS#552,216$0Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,468
Total Redeem
$18
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
77B / 52S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2
Vol: $9,468

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
23W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
38%
23W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9 (3.6458333333333335% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bulls vs. Wizards$4
76ers vs. Kings$3
Jets vs. Avalanche$1
Bruins vs. Maple Leafs$0
Wild vs. Hurricanes$0
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$0
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in June?$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$0

Top Losers

Ducks vs. Oilers$-4
Cavaliers vs. Lakers$-2
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Clippers vs. Thunder$-0
Senators vs. Blues$-0
76ers vs. Warriors$-0
Lightning vs. Kings$-0
Rangers vs. Capitals$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
3088
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
33.1%
Half-Kelly
16.6%
Top-1 market
45.3%
Top-5 markets
92.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 672s — normal for humanCV 3.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)40.3%
High (>55c)57.1%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2025, 2:20:18 PM1 trades$1,0240 min
4/6/2025, 4:58:36 PM1 trades$1,0230 min
4/6/2025, 9:26:51 PM1 trades$1,0150 min
4/6/2025, 10:25:09 PM1 trades$1,0140 min
4/6/2025, 5:16:46 PM1 trades$1,0030 min
4/6/2025, 6:34:02 PM1 trades$1,0020 min
4/6/2025, 7:43:26 PM1 trades$1,0020 min
4/6/2025, 8:37:11 PM1 trades$1,0010 min
1/2/2025, 7:23:54 PM2 trades$441 min
1/2/2025, 4:39:07 AM2 trades$403 min
12/31/2024, 9:42:50 AM5 trades$277 min
12/31/2024, 7:59:08 PM2 trades$252 min
1/4/2025, 8:27:49 AM2 trades$230 min
1/4/2025, 8:07:33 AM1 trades$220 min
1/3/2025, 7:14:01 PM3 trades$201 min
11/28/2025, 1:56:03 PM1 trades$200 min
1/3/2025, 6:32:31 PM2 trades$202 min
10/19/2025, 4:50:11 AM1 trades$190 min
1/3/2025, 4:18:22 AM1 trades$190 min
1/3/2025, 4:25:24 AM2 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
01-04
01-19
02-27
04-25
10-19
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M40.3 / H57.1