@blogs

#2,647,53530

0xf030841f46fe8e466db3156716dda072a211073d

~64d· 177 markets · 489 tradesVol: $11,6452026-08-05 00:39:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (95/163)14.1/20
0.43x (win $129 / loss $299)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4630/15
Sortino -5.4620/10
$-0.1548 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 168 (163 markets)10/10
27/50 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($171 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#242,979$-9Vol: $7,390
🎭 CULTURE#739,621$-28Vol: $1,712
🏛️ POLITICS#1,491,071$-69Vol: $1,071
⚽ SPORTS#1,574,257$-44Vol: $460
💰 FINANCE#74,447$5Vol: $445
₿ CRYPTO#1,169,087$-11Vol: $275
📈 ECONOMICS#87,933$2Vol: $121
📢 MENTIONS#25,167$5Vol: $84
💻 TECH#29,607$3Vol: $36

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,645
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
177
total markets
Trades
258B / 231S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-146
Vol: $11,645

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
95W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-146
Win Rate
58%
95W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24 (0.1644332011486394% of PnL)

Top Winners

Epstein client list released in 2025?$9
Mavericks vs. Warriors$8
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$7
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$6
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?$4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$4
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$4
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$4

Top Losers

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-24?$-60
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-40
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$-19
76ers vs. Bulls$-16
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$-14
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-10
Raptors vs. Wizards$-8
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$-7
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.283
Sortino
-0.244
HHI
163
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
19.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.5%
Mid (20-55c)17.1%
High (>55c)67.4%

Sessions

#12
2/1/2026, 8:12:40 PM3 trades$885 min
5/24/2026, 4:29:45 PM5 trades$581 min
12/26/2025, 12:55:43 AM1 trades$510 min
12/26/2025, 1:06:27 AM2 trades$441 min
2/3/2026, 8:39:00 PM1 trades$420 min
3/7/2026, 12:15:19 PM7 trades$396 min
12/14/2025, 12:59:39 PM4 trades$379 min
12/31/2025, 7:28:29 PM4 trades$361 min
4/8/2026, 9:06:47 AM4 trades$330 min
12/24/2025, 3:08:37 AM1 trades$330 min
12/23/2025, 12:41:03 PM1 trades$320 min
12/26/2025, 2:37:31 PM4 trades$322 min
12/29/2025, 4:36:53 PM4 trades$316 min
6/22/2026, 6:57:47 PM6 trades$271 min
12/27/2025, 4:57:49 PM5 trades$265 min
1/12/2026, 6:00:05 PM3 trades$251 min
12/25/2025, 10:52:15 PM3 trades$254 min
1/1/2026, 6:06:21 PM1 trades$250 min
4/10/2026, 8:06:47 AM4 trades$253 min
12/27/2025, 11:48:31 AM1 trades$240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-08
12-19
12-29
01-16
03-01
03-28
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.5 / M17.1 / H67.4