amaranto

@amaranto

#573,18765

0xf0675625679def9079fa97bbe05d9e6aee5ec16b

~9d· 33 markets · 106 tradesVol: $1,5422026-08-06 15:54:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (14/27)10.9/20
1.66x (win $112 / loss $67)10.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.23415/15
Sortino 9.21110/10
$+0.0570 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 1352 (27 markets)5.7/10
6/7 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($35 / $44)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+5
Consistent
6/7 profitable days

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#168,834$10Vol: $1,117
SPORTS#1,004,087$-1Vol: $159
💻 TECH#34,647$2Vol: $110
💰 FINANCE#131,526$1Vol: $107
📈 ECONOMICS#586,695$-7Vol: $43
CRYPTO#634,309$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,542
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
54B / 52S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $53
All Time
$5
Vol: $1,542

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
14W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$5
Win Rate
52%
14W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.66x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $88 (17.771084337349393% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$69
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$9
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$6
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$4
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$4
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$3
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$0

Top Losers

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-36
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-6
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$-3
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?$-3
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.205
Sortino
inf
HHI
2188
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.5%
Top-5 markets
75.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
27s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
75%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 27s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)75% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)79.6%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 5:34:25 AM45 trades$3097 min
6/1/2026, 1:11:26 AM34 trades$20513 min
6/21/2026, 12:08:44 PM1 trades$1940 min
6/16/2026, 11:23:10 AM10 trades$1515 min
6/16/2026, 11:47:06 AM6 trades$990 min
7/31/2026, 4:16:18 PM1 trades$550 min
8/1/2026, 5:00:35 PM1 trades$530 min
7/30/2026, 10:33:14 PM2 trades$500 min
6/21/2026, 2:34:08 PM2 trades$280 min
6/30/2026, 2:03:34 PM1 trades$120 min
7/7/2026, 10:50:29 PM1 trades$60 min
7/6/2026, 11:40:19 PM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
06-16
06-21
06-30
07-07
07-31
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M13 / H79.6