@imfollowyourluck

#2,884,80965

0xf0cfed71b36c1212f196f292366f0257daf64b66

~16d· 21 markets · 232 tradesVol: $33,1002026-08-04 21:51:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (6/12)10/20
1.68x (win $5,407 / loss $3,220)11/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.75215/15
Sortino 4.53310/10
$+0.2174 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2755 (12 markets)0/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($3,161 / $4,529)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 21.9 entries/market
Consistent
6/9 profitable days

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,577,112$-278Vol: $15,429
📈 ECONOMICS#666,694$-167Vol: $4,100
₿ CRYPTO#161,581$27Vol: $3,643
⚽ SPORTS#1,799,062$-515Vol: $2,655

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-671
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,100
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
157B / 75S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$9
Vol: $0
All Time
$-671
Vol: $33,100

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
6W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-671
Win Rate
55%
6W / 5L
Profit Factor
1.68x
Avg Win
$901
Avg Loss
$-537

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,247 (7.821553137576389% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$3,977
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$800
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$470
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$109
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$32
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-3,070
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$-59
Will T1 win MSI 2026?$-33
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-26
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$-16
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.136
Sortino
0.140
HHI
3661
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.183
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.4%
Top-5 markets
116.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 412s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity11 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.3%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)65.6%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 10:57:29 AM4 trades$1,2142 min
6/25/2026, 10:08:19 PM6 trades$9302 min
6/17/2026, 7:59:23 AM19 trades$67728 min
6/27/2026, 2:24:32 AM5 trades$6450 min
6/26/2026, 8:06:01 AM10 trades$6405 min
7/4/2026, 1:42:25 PM4 trades$6120 min
7/7/2026, 11:58:02 PM9 trades$6071 min
6/24/2026, 11:39:01 AM1 trades$5380 min
7/7/2026, 4:49:34 AM4 trades$5300 min
7/8/2026, 4:06:56 AM4 trades$4741 min
7/7/2026, 1:39:58 AM6 trades$4722 min
7/7/2026, 12:44:01 AM4 trades$4020 min
6/22/2026, 2:03:47 PM8 trades$39914 min
7/3/2026, 3:18:10 AM4 trades$3119 min
6/26/2026, 10:26:37 PM4 trades$2985 min
7/4/2026, 8:20:35 AM2 trades$2500 min
6/17/2026, 7:22:22 AM9 trades$2385 min
6/20/2026, 8:26:38 PM1 trades$2200 min
6/17/2026, 11:49:28 AM3 trades$2043 min
6/24/2026, 10:18:05 AM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-30
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.3 / M26.1 / H65.6