@0xf0f5…72bc

#2,786,86219

0xf0f5df3a0db3ac9cb838107317c30ae6701e72bc

~43d· 307 markets · 2849 tradesVol: $29,5332026-08-04 23:36:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (100/249)5.1/20
0.58x (win $1,849 / loss $3,167)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8570/15
Sortino -4.7630/10
$-0.1166 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 387 (249 markets)10/10
15/32 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 27715% of peak ($1,352 / $5)0/10

Badges

3
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,542,152$-132Vol: $16,429
🎭 CULTURE#745,322$-32Vol: $3,895
💻 TECH#245,045$-55Vol: $3,445
🌤️ WEATHER#280,778$-70Vol: $2,930
💰 FINANCE#167,981$0Vol: $1,960
📢 MENTIONS#130,990$-10Vol: $467
📈 ECONOMICS#605,545$-11Vol: $336
SPORTS#826,151$-0Vol: $29

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-311
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,533
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
307
total markets
Trades
2258B / 591S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-311
Vol: $29,533

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
100W / 148L events
Realized PnL
$-311
Win Rate
40%
100W / 148L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $499 (1.6048747548152673% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$201
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$152
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$146
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$91
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?$90
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?$89
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$83
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$76
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$56
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15?$47

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-820
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$-237
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-155
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-112
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-88
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$-87
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-75
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?$-70
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$-70
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?$-66

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.250
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
526
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
41.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
61.9
Very active
Markets / Day
6.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock62 trades/day — mass trading6.7 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)65.9%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 10:46:28 PM111 trades$47841 min
6/14/2026, 10:16:48 PM21 trades$31520 min
7/3/2026, 4:48:55 PM10 trades$2970 min
6/14/2026, 4:50:00 AM24 trades$27133 min
6/11/2026, 1:46:09 PM25 trades$22920 min
6/14/2026, 1:41:28 PM20 trades$22230 min
6/14/2026, 11:56:09 PM17 trades$20914 min
6/15/2026, 1:25:00 AM19 trades$20320 min
6/11/2026, 3:18:46 PM48 trades$19721 min
6/15/2026, 5:06:39 AM14 trades$1957 min
6/14/2026, 12:00:40 AM46 trades$1920 min
6/12/2026, 5:42:09 PM47 trades$17230 min
6/15/2026, 12:15:19 AM19 trades$16719 min
7/7/2026, 8:33:44 AM15 trades$1580 min
6/14/2026, 4:10:16 PM13 trades$15010 min
6/13/2026, 8:40:37 AM10 trades$1497 min
6/15/2026, 2:35:18 AM33 trades$1473 min
7/9/2026, 6:19:11 AM7 trades$1450 min
6/15/2026, 3:32:33 PM11 trades$1457 min
6/10/2026, 4:45:52 PM66 trades$14359 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-15
06-21
06-27
07-02
07-07
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M22 / H65.9