@arsenelupin
#55,374110xf1149da31539d059bd6b87fdddc34d92352e8003
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (102/384)0/20
0.86x (win $23,420 / loss $27,317)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7830/15
Sortino -1.1550/10
$-0.0743 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 242 (384 markets)10/10
41/132 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 400% of peak ($9,476 / $2,369)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,850
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Whale
$52,430 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#11,129$2,131Vol: $262,940
📈 ECONOMICS#6,887$273Vol: $209,434
₿ CRYPTO#1,605,049$-674Vol: $104,718
🎭 CULTURE#18,318$124Vol: $71,763
⚽ SPORTS#1,490,911$-24Vol: $3,701
💰 FINANCE#620,013$-52Vol: $2,302
📢 MENTIONS#14,618$20Vol: $1,843
🌤️ WEATHER#182,091$-1Vol: $41
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,850
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$660,408
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
399
total markets
Trades
3439B / 3520S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~180d
Periods
#2Today
$79
Vol: $0
Week
$57
Vol: $4,157
Month
$170
Vol: $4,395
All Time
$1,850
Vol: $660,408
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
102W / 282L events
Realized PnL
$1,850
Win Rate
27%
102W / 282L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$230
Avg Loss
$-105
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,421 (5.6323341836734695% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$4,924
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$3,220
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$2,278
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1,776
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1,723
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1,099
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$587
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$516
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$503
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$448
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-3,513
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-2,091
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-1,962
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-1,766
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-1,742
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$-1,298
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-1,157
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-1,113
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$-934
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-795
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
453
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
34.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
34.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.3
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 354s — normal for humanCV 2.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.89
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.4%
Mid (20-55c)23.5%
High (>55c)30.1%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 1:06:29 PM4 trades$3,4550 min
4/22/2026, 12:12:24 AM16 trades$3,2670 min
5/6/2026, 5:34:22 AM3 trades$1,7330 min
5/24/2026, 1:58:54 AM31 trades$1,5907 min
6/17/2026, 10:11:58 AM41 trades$1,2351 min
6/19/2026, 1:54:05 PM10 trades$1,1109 min
5/18/2026, 7:51:05 PM8 trades$1,1016 min
4/10/2026, 10:17:43 PM4 trades$1,1002 min
4/20/2026, 12:10:00 AM2 trades$1,0240 min
5/7/2026, 11:37:58 PM20 trades$1,0021 min
4/9/2026, 6:44:27 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
4/10/2026, 9:40:13 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/11/2026, 3:43:03 PM6 trades$9930 min
4/17/2026, 12:41:56 AM12 trades$9660 min
5/18/2026, 7:03:57 PM28 trades$90411 min
6/12/2026, 9:55:49 AM5 trades$9020 min
5/18/2026, 1:45:37 PM13 trades$8788 min
6/20/2026, 8:01:58 PM44 trades$85413 min
5/18/2026, 2:11:59 PM9 trades$8410 min
5/4/2026, 1:06:42 AM11 trades$8285 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-12
03-21
04-27
05-27
06-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.89/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.4 / M23.5 / H30.1