Supn

@Supn

#26,04154

0xf13242c0f5ed15fe9aec0c5eab40a2a8dbafc706

~195d· 3391 markets · 23936 tradesVol: $1,234,305 @SupnPablo2026-08-04 21:45:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (285/3391)0/20
1.24x (win $12,196 / loss $9,798)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.26115/15
Sortino 3.48710/10
$+0.1366 per $1 invested6.8/10
HHI 132 (3391 markets)10/10
66/195 profitable days (34%)1/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($1,257 / $3,199)6.1/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+4,857
Lottery Player
97% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
8% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#422$4,890Vol: $1,227,513
🎭 CULTURE#748,157$-34Vol: $6,428
CRYPTO#896,917$-1Vol: $186
🏛️ POLITICS#886,166$-1Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,857
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,234,305
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3391
total markets
Trades
22054B / 1882S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~195d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,857
Vol: $1,234,305

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
285W / 3106L events
Realized PnL
$4,857
Win Rate
8%
285W / 3106L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$43
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,604 (0.7420570214448069% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$2,303
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on January 25?$704
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 5?$597
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?$319
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?$269
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or higher on January 7?$250
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?$242
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?$235
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$215
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 15?$199

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?$-441
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?$-133
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 4?$-84
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 5?$-72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?$-67

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.163
HHI
205
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.137
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
18.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
101.0
Very active
Markets / Day
14.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
12.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.8

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 12.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock101 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.06
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)96.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)1%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 5:44:55 PM4 trades$4,0303 min
5/13/2026, 5:47:54 AM26 trades$3,95314 min
5/1/2026, 3:31:46 PM3 trades$1,8700 min
5/4/2026, 8:52:04 PM1 trades$1,1960 min
4/4/2026, 8:09:59 AM6 trades$1,1006 min
4/4/2026, 8:31:07 AM4 trades$1,1002 min
5/6/2026, 10:10:01 PM76 trades$1,05634 min
5/13/2026, 7:24:35 AM27 trades$7536 min
5/1/2026, 11:46:22 PM14 trades$71525 min
1/26/2026, 5:37:44 AM1 trades$7070 min
5/4/2026, 8:28:52 PM6 trades$6568 min
5/12/2026, 10:44:31 AM44 trades$60931 min
4/25/2026, 6:07:38 PM13 trades$5901 min
5/1/2026, 8:56:44 AM79 trades$58642 min
5/7/2026, 2:15:33 PM11 trades$5754 min
2/5/2026, 7:10:27 PM2 trades$5750 min
4/27/2026, 3:16:30 PM31 trades$56540 min
5/6/2026, 12:02:08 AM56 trades$55511 min
5/10/2026, 3:16:06 PM91 trades$50620 min
5/7/2026, 5:57:25 AM4 trades$5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-08
02-09
03-13
05-02
06-17
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.06/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L96.9 / M2.1 / H1