@AstariaCapital
#108,397770xf1ba141ee4249575409f8355d1f5e23d710fb93b
~32d· 28 markets · 206 tradesVol: $35,8892026-08-04 23:27:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
79% (15/19)20/20
1.86x (win $1,074 / loss $577)13.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.16015/15
Sortino 9.09310/10
$+0.0273 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 2060 (19 markets)2.2/10
10/14 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($298 / $671)5.1/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+577
Consistent
10/14 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Categories
4₿ CRYPTO#55,181$287Vol: $16,962
🏛️ POLITICS#67,639$90Vol: $16,198
📈 ECONOMICS#8,456$193Vol: $2,389
💰 FINANCE#64,806$7Vol: $340
Overview
#1Net PnL
$577
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,889
Total Redeem
$120
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
161B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$32
Vol: $0
Month
$45
Vol: $0
All Time
$577
Vol: $35,889
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
79%
15W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$577
Win Rate
79%
15W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.86x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-144
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $714 (1.2369387472283813% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?$310
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$221
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$183
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$177
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$56
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$27
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$26
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$14
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?$11
Top Losers
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-273
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-221
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$-79
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.260
Sortino
0.298
HHI
851
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.2%
Top-5 markets
60.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.7m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.26
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)98.1%
Sessions
#123/29/2026, 11:35:36 PM11 trades$4,04610 min
11/26/2025, 7:53:15 AM2 trades$2,0171 min
11/25/2025, 4:33:39 AM1 trades$2,0160 min
12/4/2025, 10:48:17 AM8 trades$1,9755 min
11/4/2025, 12:54:19 PM1 trades$1,7480 min
11/4/2025, 1:00:09 PM1 trades$1,7430 min
9/19/2025, 3:02:36 AM1 trades$1,6920 min
12/1/2025, 10:42:38 AM2 trades$1,6330 min
9/12/2025, 6:38:13 AM1 trades$1,4790 min
5/1/2026, 2:35:24 PM7 trades$1,3580 min
6/27/2026, 4:05:14 PM1 trades$1,0520 min
5/4/2026, 11:03:12 AM1 trades$9310 min
2/16/2026, 11:52:11 PM4 trades$6477 min
7/2/2026, 2:48:43 PM80 trades$62787 min
4/11/2026, 12:53:31 AM8 trades$6093 min
7/2/2026, 8:42:43 AM3 trades$6000 min
7/3/2026, 8:52:05 AM8 trades$5760 min
1/3/2026, 2:36:59 AM1 trades$5510 min
3/27/2026, 2:58:31 AM2 trades$4431 min
12/1/2025, 10:30:28 AM1 trades$3440 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-12
11-06
11-26
12-11
03-27
03-31
04-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M1.2 / H98.1