Testingthewaters1

@Testingthewaters1

#2,760,57426

0xf227388c01e305b6e85ed739d0274b3801a8a6e9

~111d· 313 markets · 631 tradesVol: $9,4292026-08-04 23:37:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (152/306)9.8/20
0.66x (win $1,440 / loss $2,190)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7600/15
Sortino -2.9270/10
$-0.2701 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 192 (306 markets)10/10
57/108 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 1489% of peak ($804 / $54)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,754,840$-246Vol: $8,065
🏛️ POLITICS#1,316,491$-13Vol: $582
📈 ECONOMICS#433,552$-1Vol: $325
CRYPTO#198,461$16Vol: $178
🎭 CULTURE#692,578$-11Vol: $161
💰 FINANCE#506,348$-2Vol: $103
💻 TECH#227,133$-10Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,429
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
313
total markets
Trades
370B / 261S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~111d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $15
Week
$-0
Vol: $40
Month
$-12
Vol: $59
All Time
$-266
Vol: $9,429

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
152W / 154L events
Realized PnL
$-266
Win Rate
50%
152W / 154L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $264 (0.9933060057914331% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$116
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$87
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$61
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$58
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$58
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$52
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$44
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$37
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$34
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$34

Top Losers

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-121
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-121
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-121
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-121
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-121
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?$-85
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-81
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-81
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-81
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-81

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.144
Sortino
-0.118
HHI
121
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.256
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 11728s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal2.0 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)51.9%
High (>55c)46.2%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 11:39:13 AM5 trades$5461 min
6/27/2026, 5:01:02 PM5 trades$2263 min
6/26/2026, 2:16:27 PM4 trades$1901 min
7/9/2026, 8:00:55 AM6 trades$1301 min
6/24/2026, 7:39:04 PM4 trades$1083 min
7/6/2026, 2:01:50 PM2 trades$1040 min
7/1/2026, 1:28:23 PM2 trades$880 min
6/25/2026, 7:47:28 AM2 trades$800 min
7/11/2026, 11:01:47 AM2 trades$790 min
6/25/2026, 2:25:55 PM2 trades$790 min
6/24/2026, 10:29:11 AM6 trades$773 min
7/5/2026, 11:01:11 AM2 trades$730 min
6/29/2026, 7:37:16 AM2 trades$700 min
6/14/2026, 12:53:54 PM2 trades$630 min
6/22/2026, 7:26:17 PM2 trades$610 min
6/21/2026, 11:11:01 AM2 trades$600 min
6/14/2026, 6:16:48 PM2 trades$590 min
7/11/2026, 6:00:52 AM6 trades$571 min
6/15/2026, 7:22:27 PM2 trades$550 min
6/13/2026, 7:40:06 PM2 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-26
03-16
04-09
05-10
06-15
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 99 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M51.9 / H46.2