@FiscalLi…tive
#82,096260xf22e73273a79788adcee6fa41c76f729fccf18f2
~23d· 126 markets · 1492 tradesVol: $88,8512026-08-04 14:30:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (27/48)13.1/20
0.54x (win $819 / loss $1,523)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1730/15
Sortino -3.3510/10
$-0.0342 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1085 (48 markets)7.1/10
12/23 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 4359% of peak ($1,336 / $31)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+990
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#25,213$571Vol: $57,936
🎭 CULTURE#11,278$284Vol: $13,368
📈 ECONOMICS#24,605$28Vol: $13,118
₿ CRYPTO#1,505,645$-140Vol: $2,154
⚽ SPORTS#78,570$256Vol: $1,510
📢 MENTIONS#141,662$-20Vol: $440
💰 FINANCE#76,090$5Vol: $193
💻 TECH#21,614$7Vol: $124
Overview
#1Net PnL
$990
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,851
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
126
total markets
Trades
838B / 654S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
Periods
#2Today
$11
Vol: $12,060
Week
$377
Vol: $31,686
Month
$565
Vol: $36,642
All Time
$990
Vol: $88,851
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
28W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$990
Win Rate
55%
28W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-80
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $470 (0.47425939580029686% of PnL)
Top Winners
Trump out as President before GTA VI?$255
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$124
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$91
UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$75
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$55
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)$48
Iran leadership change by July 31?$42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$31
Top Losers
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-560
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-446
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-216
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$-72
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-47
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$-38
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?$-36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$-10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.162
Sortino
-0.128
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.120
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
17.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.0m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 257s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)40.8%
High (>55c)48.7%
Sessions
#127/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM8 trades$3,0283 min
8/3/2026, 7:00:36 AM8 trades$1,1607 min
8/2/2026, 6:41:11 PM10 trades$1,0572 min
7/25/2026, 9:21:46 PM10 trades$9918 min
8/4/2026, 1:12:11 AM9 trades$9216 min
8/3/2026, 11:12:53 PM76 trades$85325 min
7/28/2026, 7:08:48 AM2 trades$8330 min
8/3/2026, 11:05:53 PM7 trades$8302 min
7/25/2026, 8:56:06 AM6 trades$7860 min
7/29/2026, 6:01:08 PM10 trades$7586 min
7/29/2026, 8:10:32 PM10 trades$6352 min
7/25/2026, 9:50:57 PM12 trades$6313 min
7/25/2026, 11:06:06 AM12 trades$6289 min
8/4/2026, 1:23:02 PM16 trades$6223 min
7/25/2026, 4:59:03 AM5 trades$6190 min
7/25/2026, 6:34:10 PM8 trades$6195 min
7/22/2026, 11:59:22 PM6 trades$55213 min
7/25/2026, 8:12:58 PM4 trades$4732 min
7/25/2026, 6:57:57 PM2 trades$4710 min
7/27/2026, 2:16:00 AM4 trades$4650 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-19 23:59:00
2026-07-21 16:00:00
2026-07-24 23:59:00
2026-07-29 00:00:00
2026-07-30 16:30:00
2026-07-31 12:00:00
2026-08-02 03:59:59
2026-09-30 00:00:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.5 / M40.8 / H48.7