@timler

#3,052,64610

0xf262642b11f0bb480130f2a4dde0e1c66c9fc56d

~281d· 887 markets · 15206 tradesVol: $1,641,7502026-08-04 22:47:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (200/887)0/20
0.78x (win $37,786 / loss $48,750)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2700/15
Sortino -1.9090/10
$-0.1248 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 156 (887 markets)10/10
54/220 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 534% of peak ($13,493 / $2,529)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20
Whale
$87,831 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#816,176$-6,108Vol: $1,540,283
⚽ SPORTS#1,829,843$-1,051Vol: $59,416
₿ CRYPTO#1,534,924$-200Vol: $32,265
🏛️ POLITICS#87,585$54Vol: $8,109
📢 MENTIONS#155,133$-45Vol: $611
📈 ECONOMICS#12,423$101Vol: $563

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,272
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,641,750
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
887
total markets
Trades
12083B / 3123S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~281d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
201W / 686L events
Realized PnL
$-7,272
Win Rate
23%
201W / 686L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$189
Avg Loss
$-75

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,975 (1.6467915519531777% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$4,251
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$3,961
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$3,762
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?$3,692
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$3,232
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?$2,485
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?$2,306
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?$1,381
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$934
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?$656

Top Losers

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?$-1,402
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?$-1,276
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?$-1,210
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?$-1,193
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?$-1,157
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?$-1,015
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?$-995
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?$-966
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?$-905
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?$-852

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.094
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)3.8%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 3:41:18 PM61 trades$14,61510 min
7/25/2025, 4:19:53 PM81 trades$5,91230 min
5/13/2026, 8:28:39 PM37 trades$5,3068 min
7/11/2025, 4:09:50 AM1 trades$4,3530 min
7/18/2025, 5:19:25 PM3 trades$4,0315 min
8/22/2025, 4:28:44 PM1 trades$2,8850 min
8/1/2025, 4:46:26 PM2 trades$2,5581 min
6/27/2025, 11:43:21 AM1 trades$2,5500 min
8/1/2025, 12:59:06 PM7 trades$2,3004 min
7/4/2025, 12:02:51 PM10 trades$2,0787 min
8/3/2025, 2:33:06 PM120 trades$1,91028 min
6/29/2026, 9:52:16 PM4 trades$1,5761 min
4/29/2026, 5:08:16 AM67 trades$1,30617 min
6/13/2025, 11:39:39 AM1 trades$1,2990 min
8/22/2025, 9:00:10 AM3 trades$1,2797 min
7/30/2025, 4:21:21 PM44 trades$1,24525 min
9/5/2025, 4:48:14 PM1 trades$1,1990 min
6/22/2026, 6:50:08 PM43 trades$95020 min
7/3/2025, 7:35:49 AM33 trades$89423 min
7/13/2025, 8:36:30 PM32 trades$83617 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
06-25
08-12
10-08
02-15
04-29
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 356 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.8 / M11.4 / H3.8