@feig8

#3,042,09811

0xf2a33bdb0e0e3d571ae76a928e6968fb9f01cef3

~35d· 49 markets · 100 tradesVol: $70,110 @optimism120512026-08-05 15:50:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (18/48)3.8/20
0.46x (win $2,762 / loss $6,053)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7860/15
Sortino -4.5090/10
$-0.0905 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1156 (48 markets)6.7/10
11/33 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4,187 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,338,539$-15Vol: $27,305
⚽ SPORTS#1,871,519$-4,670Vol: $24,482
₿ CRYPTO#1,356,205$-39Vol: $6,624
📈 ECONOMICS#46,174$9Vol: $6,104
🎭 CULTURE#585,808$-2Vol: $4,115
💰 FINANCE#109,441$2Vol: $1,480

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,716
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,110
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
63B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
18W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-4,716
Win Rate
38%
18W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$153
Avg Loss
$-209

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,686 (0.5694390256314567% of PnL)

Top Winners

Commanders vs. Giants$1,335
Thunder vs. Knicks$898
Seahawks vs. Patriots$453
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?$49
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$16
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18?$3
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?$1
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28?$1
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?$1

Top Losers

Blackhawks vs. Canucks$-1,043
Bills vs. Dolphins$-1,037
Nuggets vs. Rockets$-1,030
Eagles vs. Bills$-1,010
Nuggets vs. Pelicans$-1,006
Grizzlies vs. Kings$-793
Ethereum Up or Down on April 24?$-55
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?$-23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 18?$-20
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.195
Sortino
-0.219
HHI
772
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.1%
Top-5 markets
47.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 485s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.04
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)73%

Sessions

#12
1/6/2025, 5:53:41 PM5 trades$16,8839 min
1/6/2025, 6:12:59 PM1 trades$7,2980 min
3/6/2026, 3:46:25 PM1 trades$2,3620 min
3/6/2026, 3:59:53 PM1 trades$2,3600 min
4/9/2026, 2:53:43 PM11 trades$2,1110 min
5/18/2026, 2:13:44 PM4 trades$2,0124 min
6/5/2026, 2:30:28 PM6 trades$1,7042 min
2/4/2026, 2:36:22 PM2 trades$1,5922 min
3/4/2026, 2:20:31 PM1 trades$1,4650 min
4/9/2026, 2:41:47 PM6 trades$1,3010 min
3/22/2026, 2:50:53 PM1 trades$1,2100 min
3/22/2026, 3:04:45 PM1 trades$1,2090 min
12/12/2025, 2:20:48 PM2 trades$1,1755 min
11/5/2025, 3:16:59 PM1 trades$1,0430 min
11/9/2025, 3:19:09 PM1 trades$1,0370 min
10/29/2025, 3:39:37 PM2 trades$1,0320 min
11/21/2025, 4:02:03 PM1 trades$1,0300 min
10/18/2025, 3:07:57 AM2 trades$1,0232 min
12/27/2025, 4:13:21 PM1 trades$1,0100 min
1/28/2026, 9:14:33 AM1 trades$1,0070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
04-11
08-30
11-05
01-13
04-09
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M19 / H73