@ChiefBum

#3,029,4529

0xf2bfc826f0ef0c10df5dbf0ad2d062d13fbbbc05

~93d· 97 markets · 473 tradesVol: $158,6372026-08-04 20:09:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (20/97)0/20
0.64x (win $5,867 / loss $9,209)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8270/15
Sortino -2.1990/10
$-0.2241 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 616 (97 markets)9.4/10
10/51 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 572% of peak ($4,049 / $708)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,768$-3,241Vol: $109,808
SPORTS#35,277$1,118Vol: $28,048
💻 TECH#256,162$-513Vol: $6,389
🎭 CULTURE#794,945$-201Vol: $5,409
📢 MENTIONS#170,776$-274Vol: $3,360
💰 FINANCE#646,157$-304Vol: $2,986
CRYPTO#1,238,872$-17Vol: $1,638
📈 ECONOMICS#633,340$-25Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,457
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$158,637
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
405B / 68S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
20W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$-3,457
Win Rate
21%
20W / 77L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$293
Avg Loss
$-121

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,139 (1.1973399516354843% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?$2,145
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?$1,025
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$969
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?$372
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$348
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$340
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$152
Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?$122
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$86
Will Trump say "VAT" or "Value added tax" during tariff event on April 2?$60

Top Losers

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?$-1,770
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?$-1,390
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$-1,139
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$-900
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$-530
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on March 31?$-250
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?$-219
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$-218
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?$-179
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on March 31?$-162

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.107
HHI
738
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.223
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
53.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 614s — normal for humanCV 4.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.93
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.8%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)11.9%

Sessions

#12
12/30/2025, 8:59:23 AM15 trades$2,88221 min
12/28/2025, 11:38:19 AM1 trades$2,7500 min
2/22/2025, 9:34:21 PM4 trades$1,8002 min
6/26/2026, 8:22:23 AM10 trades$7150 min
12/29/2025, 11:00:03 AM1 trades$5750 min
2/24/2025, 1:09:32 PM1 trades$3590 min
4/23/2025, 5:46:58 AM1 trades$3580 min
12/27/2025, 1:04:21 PM1 trades$3310 min
3/3/2025, 12:06:55 PM3 trades$3002 min
12/22/2025, 1:08:51 PM1 trades$2280 min
2/4/2025, 8:26:33 PM2 trades$2001 min
3/1/2025, 7:53:16 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/17/2025, 10:19:39 AM3 trades$2005 min
6/13/2025, 3:58:19 AM1 trades$1850 min
3/17/2025, 10:55:39 AM1 trades$1680 min
6/4/2026, 5:30:21 PM1 trades$1640 min
5/28/2025, 10:28:05 AM1 trades$1430 min
3/4/2025, 10:31:56 AM3 trades$1381 min
12/29/2025, 8:30:41 PM2 trades$1350 min
3/31/2025, 9:41:35 AM2 trades$1220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
04-08
05-14
06-14
09-24
10-23
01-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 180 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.8 / M33.3 / H11.9