@Chrislitsch

#2,624,04669

0xf2d06e7247b906c1029730d17f0fe0cf321444b9

~58d· 282 markets · 1134 tradesVol: $92,6192026-08-05 17:29:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (34/251)0/20
2.74x (win $2,402 / loss $878)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.47115/15
Sortino 16.71210/10
$+0.9707 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 784 (251 markets)8.6/10
12/56 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($358 / $1,882)10/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#12,744$236Vol: $28,561
SPORTS#1,734,214$-186Vol: $20,148
🏛️ POLITICS#1,511,278$-92Vol: $18,963
📈 ECONOMICS#638,612$-30Vol: $13,514
💰 FINANCE#593,340$-19Vol: $4,750
CRYPTO#1,275,588$-21Vol: $1,855
📢 MENTIONS#107,294$-4Vol: $1,151
💻 TECH#211,885$-4Vol: $143
🌤️ WEATHER#210,724$-2Vol: $56

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-129
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,619
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
282
total markets
Trades
424B / 710S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-129
Vol: $92,619

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
34W / 217L events
Realized PnL
$-128
Win Rate
14%
34W / 217L
Profit Factor
2.74x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,251 (17.549388009667105% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1,317
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$899
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?$35
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$17
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?$17
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$12
Will Elon Musk attend UFC Freedom 250?$11
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?$10
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$9
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$8

Top Losers

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-120
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-64
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-40
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$-31
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24
Trump out as President by June 30?$-22
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?$-20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.128
Sortino
0.821
HHI
2229
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.638
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43.4%
Top-5 markets
72.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 4.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.9 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)66.5%
Mid (20-55c)15.3%
High (>55c)18.2%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 12:04:01 PM2 trades$3,3330 min
5/17/2026, 2:13:12 PM6 trades$3,0001 min
5/28/2026, 11:21:40 PM4 trades$3,0001 min
5/27/2026, 12:57:53 AM37 trades$1,2642 min
5/17/2026, 7:39:51 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/20/2026, 9:35:30 PM94 trades$1,0000 min
5/22/2026, 11:35:42 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/15/2026, 11:26:34 AM4 trades$9630 min
5/8/2026, 12:11:26 PM12 trades$8946 min
6/16/2026, 12:37:51 PM4 trades$7002 min
5/17/2026, 12:08:09 AM2 trades$6660 min
5/28/2026, 8:32:09 PM7 trades$5474 min
5/17/2026, 12:14:22 AM29 trades$5296 min
6/1/2026, 11:57:35 PM4 trades$5123 min
5/5/2026, 11:50:42 AM9 trades$5098 min
5/26/2026, 11:14:38 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/7/2026, 5:20:56 PM7 trades$4771 min
5/8/2026, 12:51:55 PM13 trades$4682 min
4/30/2026, 2:58:10 PM13 trades$4475 min
5/28/2026, 8:45:25 PM4 trades$4174 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-13
05-23
06-06
06-20
07-02
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.5 / M15.3 / H18.2