marceloaugustozz

@marceloaugustozz

#4,46988

0xf2d2984208ed3f961cd60c44a66920726f5fa1cd

~143d· 1215 markets · 23950 tradesVol: $2,591,2562026-08-05 02:44:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (733/1214)15.2/20
1.72x (win $321,324 / loss $186,292)11.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.13215/15
Sortino 13.89510/10
$+0.1346 per $1 invested6.7/10
HHI 30 (1214 markets)10/10
98/141 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($9,512 / $135,032)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+38,641
DCA Master
Avg 20.1 entries/market
Whale
$1,003,406 invested
Consistent
98/141 profitable days
High Roller
$6,432/day
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,687$38,670Vol: $2,590,723
CRYPTO#1,322,724$-30Vol: $533

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,640
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,591,256
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1215
total markets
Trades
13595B / 10355S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~143d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $10
Week
$1
Vol: $124
Month
$789
Vol: $17,153
All Time
$38,640
Vol: $2,591,256

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
731W / 480L events
Realized PnL
$38,641
Win Rate
60%
731W / 480L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$438
Avg Loss
$-392

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36,492 (0.9443656717673233% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$20,599
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?$9,016
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$6,876
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$6,517
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?$6,470
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$6,122
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?$5,633
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5$5,620
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?$5,028
New Zealand leading at halftime?$4,822

Top Losers

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?$-6,251
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-5,294
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-16?$-4,636
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-3,495
Brazil leading at halftime?$-3,083
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$-2,967
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?$-2,830
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$-2,696
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5$-2,588
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5$-2,552

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.268
Sortino
0.490
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.129
Kelly %
15.1%
Half-Kelly
7.5%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
153.5
Very active
Markets / Day
7.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.3m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
55.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock154 trades/day — automation7.8 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)69.3%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 12:16:55 AM64 trades$15,7029 min
6/19/2026, 7:43:35 PM35 trades$15,5191 min
6/15/2026, 3:44:21 AM59 trades$15,1813 min
5/7/2026, 8:23:06 PM31 trades$15,00317 min
6/24/2026, 3:36:32 AM77 trades$14,3415 min
5/31/2026, 8:49:31 PM224 trades$12,73931 min
6/21/2026, 11:33:25 PM53 trades$12,2926 min
5/2/2026, 4:59:28 PM28 trades$11,7391 min
6/27/2026, 10:33:52 PM66 trades$10,5975 min
7/23/2026, 12:51:12 AM77 trades$10,57519 min
5/17/2026, 3:17:30 AM70 trades$10,51310 min
6/20/2026, 3:46:41 AM34 trades$9,9402 min
6/27/2026, 4:46:08 AM62 trades$9,75614 min
6/21/2026, 5:44:29 PM85 trades$8,60914 min
6/13/2026, 1:29:54 AM39 trades$7,8424 min
5/30/2026, 9:09:26 PM120 trades$7,72914 min
4/26/2026, 3:23:44 AM98 trades$7,52313 min
7/18/2026, 2:24:24 AM54 trades$7,44210 min
6/12/2026, 3:36:01 AM58 trades$7,3363 min
6/16/2026, 8:29:56 PM66 trades$7,1944 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-27
04-19
05-12
06-08
07-02
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M24.1 / H69.3