@anonymous-predictor

#2,308,1138

0xf2df93b3fe572bf4e8092449b0a22e28c4190415

~12d· 19 markets · 57 tradesVol: $4,4372026-08-04 23:35:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (3/15)0/20
0.11x (win $16 / loss $149)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.3690/15
Sortino -9.2070/10
$-0.3793 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 867 (15 markets)8.2/10
2/10 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($138 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,654,044$-83Vol: $2,354
₿ CRYPTO#1,111,798$-8Vol: $866
🎭 CULTURE#22,809$85Vol: $610
💰 FINANCE#591,168$-17Vol: $504
🏛️ POLITICS#444,291$0Vol: $52
💻 TECH#235,605$-20Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-43
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,437
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
23B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $126
Week
$-6
Vol: $126
Month
$-11
Vol: $184
All Time
$-43
Vol: $4,437

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
3W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-43
Win Rate
20%
3W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.3784159333024548% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$4
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$0

Top Losers

France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5$-50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$-40
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9?$-15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$-14
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.515
Sortino
-0.506
HHI
618
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.455
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
46.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.9h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5057s — normal for humanCV 0.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)52.2%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 6:39:53 AM6 trades$950 min
7/8/2026, 2:34:13 PM7 trades$931 min
7/14/2026, 11:27:14 PM5 trades$652 min
7/27/2026, 4:45:45 PM3 trades$560 min
8/4/2026, 5:24:20 PM2 trades$490 min
7/31/2026, 10:04:51 AM2 trades$470 min
7/9/2026, 9:31:29 PM3 trades$460 min
7/27/2026, 5:47:25 PM4 trades$404 min
7/11/2026, 5:01:38 PM2 trades$400 min
8/4/2026, 6:08:39 PM1 trades$350 min
7/9/2026, 9:47:47 PM1 trades$320 min
7/12/2026, 9:56:58 AM2 trades$300 min
7/15/2026, 8:37:28 PM2 trades$270 min
7/9/2026, 5:05:37 PM2 trades$200 min
7/11/2026, 8:55:29 AM5 trades$200 min
7/14/2026, 11:36:37 PM2 trades$200 min
7/23/2026, 10:48:42 PM2 trades$200 min
7/18/2026, 9:33:46 PM2 trades$170 min
7/19/2026, 7:48:36 PM2 trades$80 min
7/27/2026, 7:16:03 PM2 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-08
07-09
07-11
07-14
07-15
07-18
07-19
07-23
07-27
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.7 / M26.1 / H52.2