@ToadToad
#37,271570xf2faf524fdf5901cf0f6e7a2eaae3f0c4e9f4a62
~90d· 149 markets · 1921 tradesVol: $191,1892026-08-04 23:12:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (68/138)9.6/20
1.22x (win $19,318 / loss $15,786)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.83515/15
Sortino 1.64310/10
$+0.0487 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 794 (138 markets)8.5/10
26/54 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 64% of peak ($6,346 / $9,879)1.2/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+3,069
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.8 entries/market
Whale
$72,525 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6💰 FINANCE#3,108$1,485Vol: $88,379
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,245$-1,232Vol: $64,340
💻 TECH#244,761$-52Vol: $2,268
₿ CRYPTO#167,884$25Vol: $1,802
📈 ECONOMICS#660,496$-101Vol: $1,779
⚽ SPORTS#1,691,593$-112Vol: $347
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,069
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$191,189
Total Redeem
$202
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
149
total markets
Trades
999B / 922S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d
Periods
#2Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $0
Month
$-54
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,069
Vol: $191,189
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
68W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$3,069
Win Rate
49%
68W / 70L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$284
Avg Loss
$-247
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,543 (2.783384645457655% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$3,717
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$2,446
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$2,381
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1,203
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1,044
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$945
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$930
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$906
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$779
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$734
Top Losers
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-3,640
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-2,321
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$-1,745
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-1,396
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$-1,072
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-792
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-706
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-689
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-472
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?$-378
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.043
Sortino
0.067
HHI
2118
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.5%
Top-5 markets
84.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 234s — normal for humanCV 3.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.76
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)33%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)45.1%
Sessions
#126/5/2026, 10:03:10 AM69 trades$20,38515 min
6/5/2026, 9:29:09 AM17 trades$6,3855 min
5/22/2026, 11:49:12 AM13 trades$4,7901 min
6/12/2026, 7:41:04 PM11 trades$3,9406 min
6/12/2026, 10:09:25 AM6 trades$3,4433 min
6/1/2026, 4:20:51 PM14 trades$3,2675 min
5/20/2026, 5:52:17 PM6 trades$3,1261 min
6/2/2026, 7:17:16 AM22 trades$2,6652 min
6/14/2026, 11:32:07 PM17 trades$2,4155 min
6/4/2026, 1:13:34 PM3 trades$2,0330 min
3/18/2026, 10:57:19 AM6 trades$1,8284 min
5/19/2026, 2:34:28 PM31 trades$1,43710 min
2/19/2026, 1:38:44 PM19 trades$1,43618 min
6/5/2026, 8:53:24 AM8 trades$1,3020 min
6/16/2026, 1:02:39 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
6/12/2026, 10:36:52 AM14 trades$1,2420 min
6/15/2026, 10:52:48 AM14 trades$1,1950 min
4/25/2026, 8:50:00 AM35 trades$1,18916 min
4/14/2026, 7:21:59 AM4 trades$1,1304 min
4/14/2026, 7:15:49 AM2 trades$1,1000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
03-13
04-09
05-19
06-05
06-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33 / M21.8 / H45.1