BettingQuant

@BettingQuant

#5,68838

0xf3505345381358c2311ef9bc8096ace10165f3ff

~254d· 3772 markets · 22537 tradesVol: $2,626,733 @Betting_Quant2026-08-04 16:21:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (2630/3761)20/20
0.93x (win $135,994 / loss $145,764)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5280/15
Sortino -0.6400/10
$-0.0099 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 58 (3761 markets)10/10
115/209 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 140% of peak ($49,722 / $35,612)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+29,465
DCA Master
Avg 6.2 entries/market
Whale
$991,163 invested
High Roller
$3,502/day
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
💰 FINANCE#281$18,308Vol: $1,848,694
🏛️ POLITICS#4,631$7,734Vol: $425,545
CRYPTO#30,231$1,012Vol: $259,768
📈 ECONOMICS#667,083$-174Vol: $35,892
🎭 CULTURE#776,326$-86Vol: $7,717
SPORTS#1,839,658$-1,313Vol: $2,535
💻 TECH#20,278$8Vol: $1,641

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$29,465
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,626,733
Total Redeem
$43,230
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3772
total markets
Trades
15715B / 6822S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~254d

Periods

#2
Today
$289
Vol: $3,545
Week
$305
Vol: $8,005
Month
$335
Vol: $8,790
All Time
$29,465
Vol: $2,626,733

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
2630W / 1131L events
Realized PnL
$29,465
Win Rate
70%
2630W / 1131L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,099 (0.750019260328712% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$8,506
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$7,168
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$6,426
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$4,542
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?$2,513
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in May?$2,192
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?$2,130
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$2,023
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?$1,707
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11?$1,613

Top Losers

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-10,245
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?$-7,848
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 27 2026?$-5,435
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-5,001
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-4,618
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-4,159
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on January 29?$-3,979
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$-3,767
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of April 27 2026?$-3,638
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-3,276

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
79.6
Very active
Markets / Day
13.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.8m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 2.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock80 trades/day — mass trading13 markets/day — mass coverage54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)25%
High (>55c)62.2%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 3:50:38 PM11 trades$12,0115 min
4/7/2026, 11:26:11 PM31 trades$11,47419 min
4/29/2026, 3:59:46 PM51 trades$11,25931 min
2/28/2026, 7:37:43 PM19 trades$9,00611 min
3/20/2026, 2:14:55 PM13 trades$8,5616 min
1/28/2026, 8:49:40 PM33 trades$8,13831 min
1/29/2026, 8:42:24 PM28 trades$8,03925 min
4/21/2026, 8:08:30 PM20 trades$7,6816 min
2/17/2026, 8:11:03 PM2 trades$7,5853 min
3/6/2026, 8:53:29 PM18 trades$7,41718 min
3/12/2026, 6:25:49 PM9 trades$7,1503 min
3/1/2026, 2:56:15 PM6 trades$7,1458 min
4/2/2026, 7:53:07 AM114 trades$6,15230 min
3/31/2026, 7:30:59 PM21 trades$6,0522 min
6/23/2026, 2:08:29 PM34 trades$5,86521 min
2/5/2026, 8:39:51 PM28 trades$5,60028 min
3/2/2026, 8:11:11 AM37 trades$5,58329 min
3/31/2026, 4:41:43 PM36 trades$5,57513 min
3/2/2026, 7:12:13 AM2 trades$5,5704 min
4/28/2026, 8:02:06 PM55 trades$5,49716 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
12-08
01-16
02-25
04-06
05-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 76 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M25 / H62.2