Cmp-Gamble-Trash

@Cmp-Gamble-Trash

#2,937,92112

0xf37bd93206203525a515c6863e60eaa7d9154eda

~98d· 952 markets · 4328 tradesVol: $542,6012026-08-05 17:25:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (197/946)0/20
0.93x (win $3,547 / loss $3,798)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4070/15
Sortino -0.5270/10
$-0.0348 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 244 (946 markets)10/10
26/87 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 319% of peak ($1,288 / $404)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#11,153$295Vol: $349,691
SPORTS#1,779,118$-358Vol: $141,499
🏛️ POLITICS#1,422,872$-31Vol: $18,096
CRYPTO#123,143$55Vol: $17,856
🌤️ WEATHER#230,229$-5Vol: $3,948
📢 MENTIONS#149,192$-29Vol: $1,400
💰 FINANCE#531,046$-4Vol: $410
💻 TECH#196,771$-1Vol: $306
📈 ECONOMICS#572,855$-5Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,082
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$542,601
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
952
total markets
Trades
3443B / 885S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $56
Month
$-47
Vol: $7,973
All Time
$-1,082
Vol: $542,601

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
197W / 749L events
Realized PnL
$-1,082
Win Rate
21%
197W / 749L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,939 (1.7918337552898564% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?$901
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$624
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$415
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$297
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)$117
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Nov 22-29?$106
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Nov 22-29?$55
Spread: England (-1.5)$44
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$41
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$39

Top Losers

Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 75-99 tries?$-957
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$-246
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?$-167
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?$-111
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 20-27?$-110
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 20-27?$-108
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$-80
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$-50
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 1-20 tries?$-48
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur$-43

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.024
HHI
285
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
29%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.7m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 8.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.55
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)81%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)4.8%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 11:17:40 PM6 trades$1,1200 min
7/18/2026, 10:18:27 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
12/28/2024, 11:08:16 AM2 trades$9550 min
7/7/2026, 5:02:37 PM2 trades$5990 min
7/25/2026, 4:26:18 PM279 trades$513102 min
12/29/2025, 12:59:13 PM158 trades$48299 min
12/29/2025, 2:45:19 PM98 trades$31696 min
7/13/2026, 10:48:52 AM7 trades$3130 min
11/14/2025, 3:17:04 PM77 trades$25735 min
7/25/2026, 6:19:46 PM72 trades$24863 min
7/11/2026, 1:32:14 PM5 trades$2390 min
12/6/2025, 8:18:05 PM29 trades$20734 min
12/8/2025, 4:39:03 PM21 trades$20111 min
7/12/2026, 11:25:55 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/18/2026, 8:05:07 PM2 trades$2000 min
12/29/2025, 6:11:31 PM56 trades$18759 min
7/11/2026, 3:48:59 PM13 trades$1395 min
7/16/2026, 1:33:59 PM13 trades$1294 min
7/22/2026, 5:46:15 PM6 trades$1221 min
7/19/2026, 9:24:57 PM7 trades$1152 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-18
12-12
09-05
11-13
12-16
07-13
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 346 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.55/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81 / M14.2 / H4.8