@MuddyGem
#2,567,09180xf39158e48d9d377575b01ecbe06a72a116be2f83
~8d· 12 markets · 71 tradesVol: $2,1792026-08-04 21:50:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (4/11)3.2/20
0.74x (win $41 / loss $56)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0520/15
Sortino -3.8240/10
$-0.0682 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2115 (11 markets)1.9/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 3719% of peak ($30 / $1)0/10
Categories
4₿ CRYPTO#1,443,833$-81Vol: $1,984
🏛️ POLITICS#1,310,289$-12Vol: $112
💻 TECH#224,357$-9Vol: $50
💰 FINANCE#494,649$-2Vol: $34
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-104
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,179
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
34B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d
Periods
#2Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-104
Vol: $2,179
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
4W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-104
Win Rate
36%
4W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-11
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (0.38809133827921766% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1
Top Losers
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-10
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1PM ET$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.148
Sortino
-0.235
HHI
1154
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.4%
Top-5 markets
68.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.7%
High (>55c)55.9%
Sessions
#127/9/2026, 11:15:19 AM14 trades$2152 min
7/9/2026, 7:26:50 AM6 trades$632 min
7/9/2026, 4:29:34 AM2 trades$500 min
7/24/2026, 11:46:34 AM9 trades$4710 min
7/23/2026, 3:03:31 PM8 trades$463 min
7/8/2026, 5:44:19 PM3 trades$460 min
7/17/2026, 3:35:52 AM3 trades$340 min
7/9/2026, 11:00:43 AM8 trades$232 min
7/8/2026, 3:41:31 PM2 trades$200 min
7/11/2026, 5:33:29 PM4 trades$200 min
7/24/2026, 11:22:27 AM7 trades$1810 min
7/3/2026, 6:33:26 AM1 trades$90 min
7/10/2026, 2:37:34 PM2 trades$61 min
7/8/2026, 11:29:04 AM2 trades$00 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-03
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-11
07-23
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.4 / M14.7 / H55.9