@OptionX

#2,998,63286

0xf3b9f1ec38d9e1d2efdf5b87c5eb90c0a8b657ec

~29d· 198 markets · 664 tradesVol: $136,4152026-08-04 23:35:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (116/198)14.3/20
1.77x (win $21,620 / loss $12,201)12.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.55515/15
Sortino 19.61910/10
$+0.2490 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 306 (198 markets)10/10
13/26 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($1,656 / $11,075)10/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,610,049$-802Vol: $86,867
SPORTS#1,838,281$-1,253Vol: $19,876
📈 ECONOMICS#674,045$-378Vol: $14,433
💰 FINANCE#9,159$326Vol: $13,051
🏛️ POLITICS#53,679$142Vol: $1,591
🎭 CULTURE#781,946$-102Vol: $597

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,067
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$136,415
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
198
total markets
Trades
300B / 364S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
116W / 82L events
Realized PnL
$-2,067
Win Rate
59%
116W / 82L
Profit Factor
1.77x
Avg Win
$186
Avg Loss
$-151

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,037 (3.4036558349214947% of PnL)

Top Winners

Argentina to win the second half?$3,216
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$2,110
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?$1,711
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5$1,620
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)$1,313
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2PM ET$1,125
Switzerland vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?$994
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$788
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$566
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$450

Top Losers

Korea Republic leading at halftime?$-1,952
Belgium leading at halftime?$-1,040
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5$-918
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?$-800
Argentina vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?$-560
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-378
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-298
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$-260
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-240
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?$-238

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.337
Sortino
0.819
HHI
337
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.246
Kelly %
3.5%
Half-Kelly
1.7%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
32.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.2m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.3%
Mid (20-55c)50%
High (>55c)40.7%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 6:03:25 PM15 trades$4,7590 min
6/18/2026, 3:40:56 AM29 trades$3,78911 min
6/17/2026, 6:03:07 AM14 trades$3,0880 min
3/22/2026, 3:15:33 AM28 trades$3,07253 min
6/16/2026, 3:33:58 PM8 trades$2,8111 min
6/24/2026, 7:50:05 PM14 trades$2,2566 min
6/22/2026, 6:46:43 PM4 trades$2,2003 min
6/24/2026, 9:11:04 PM7 trades$2,1690 min
3/21/2026, 3:46:17 PM37 trades$2,12753 min
6/21/2026, 6:03:25 PM2 trades$1,9830 min
3/28/2026, 4:40:17 AM9 trades$1,54119 min
6/22/2026, 7:13:53 PM7 trades$1,5000 min
3/22/2026, 4:46:13 PM14 trades$1,38920 min
6/22/2026, 5:49:01 PM6 trades$1,2445 min
6/21/2026, 6:26:05 PM49 trades$1,1604 min
2/13/2026, 5:50:55 PM10 trades$1,02919 min
6/20/2026, 4:47:29 PM7 trades$1,0260 min
6/24/2026, 8:01:44 PM9 trades$1,0232 min
3/28/2026, 5:46:05 AM6 trades$94415 min
3/28/2026, 5:05:01 AM7 trades$86412 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
02-08
02-25
03-22
03-30
06-16
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.3 / M50 / H40.7