@MayWeatherstappen

#1,421,35352

0xf3d266c89086a6d58d033c1247aae1a2949c6efc

~137d· 2059 markets · 10750 tradesVol: $197,729 @weatherstappen2026-08-04 17:19:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (843/2041)5.7/20
1.09x (win $9,552 / loss $8,727)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.32615/15
Sortino 3.07210/10
$+0.0416 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 248 (2041 markets)10/10
58/129 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($610 / $1,009)1.9/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#7,863$83Vol: $191,672
🏛️ POLITICS#1,467,974$-51Vol: $3,326
SPORTS#323,922$6Vol: $1,164
CRYPTO#205,810$15Vol: $324
💰 FINANCE#620,496$-54Vol: $192
📈 ECONOMICS#420,622$-0Vol: $67
🎭 CULTURE#343,596$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$197,729
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2059
total markets
Trades
4368B / 6382S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~137d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $226
Week
$1
Vol: $1,026
Month
$-8
Vol: $1,478
All Time
$-2
Vol: $197,729

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
842W / 1198L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
41%
842W / 1198L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $743 (355.63157894736844% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?$287
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?$232
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?$224
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?$223
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?$181
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?$167
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 16?$160
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?$122
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?$109
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?$109

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?$-190
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?$-88
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 28?$-70
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?$-68

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.069
Sortino
0.133
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
3.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.4
Very active
Markets / Day
10.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.1m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.0

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 442s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock52 trades/day — mass trading10 markets/day — mass coverage42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.5%
Mid (20-55c)25.4%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 7:01:04 AM521 trades$11,8344 min
5/1/2026, 6:52:26 PM53 trades$7,0674 min
4/30/2026, 2:51:34 PM11 trades$6,7564 min
5/2/2026, 3:36:30 AM46 trades$4,8240 min
4/30/2026, 4:09:06 PM50 trades$3,1541 min
5/4/2026, 7:25:16 AM3 trades$2,0190 min
5/1/2026, 3:27:50 AM3 trades$1,0011 min
5/1/2026, 3:40:18 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/29/2026, 9:10:34 AM21 trades$9232 min
5/13/2026, 4:08:23 AM15 trades$63711 min
5/2/2026, 2:34:14 AM2 trades$6340 min
5/2/2026, 6:35:10 AM2 trades$6040 min
5/1/2026, 6:03:58 AM9 trades$5522 min
5/15/2026, 7:59:08 AM47 trades$4684 min
5/16/2026, 12:58:41 AM44 trades$39610 min
5/1/2026, 12:18:24 AM2 trades$3510 min
5/1/2026, 4:09:10 AM17 trades$3443 min
5/13/2026, 9:20:12 AM4 trades$3390 min
5/6/2026, 6:27:42 AM2 trades$3290 min
4/29/2026, 11:31:32 PM61 trades$2774 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-11
04-28
05-27
06-20
07-11
08-02
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.5 / M25.4 / H47.1