LetsWinHiveTournament

@LetsWinHiveTournament

#19,90671

0xf421705cbe3dd07db21ddd4a61eb8cce9386efce

~28d· 280 markets · 4788 tradesVol: $573,3432026-08-04 20:40:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (62/280)0/20
1.81x (win $20,154 / loss $11,149)12.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.47215/15
Sortino 28.70110/10
$+0.2663 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 108 (280 markets)10/10
11/26 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($938 / $9,118)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+6,831
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#286$6,683Vol: $501,523
SPORTS#71,570$308Vol: $64,277
🏛️ POLITICS#127,934$22Vol: $4,334
🎭 CULTURE#782,580$-104Vol: $2,795
💻 TECH#243,432$-47Vol: $311

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,831
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$573,343
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
280
total markets
Trades
1821B / 2967S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
63W / 217L events
Realized PnL
$6,831
Win Rate
23%
63W / 217L
Profit Factor
1.81x
Avg Win
$325
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,069 (1.181206953339433% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$3,159
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$3,013
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$1,897
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$1,438
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?$1,388
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?$794
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?$680
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?$646
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?$646
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$587

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?$-1,036
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?$-829
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?$-356
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?$-317
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 20?$-301
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-300
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?$-294
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?$-278
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?$-270
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?$-257

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.281
Sortino
1.473
HHI
174
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.259
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
18.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
116.8
Very active
Markets / Day
6.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.4m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock117 trades/day — automation6.8 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.13
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.3%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)31.4%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 1:08:26 AM206 trades$9,25554 min
7/19/2026, 6:15:00 PM55 trades$3,6215 min
6/19/2026, 3:52:35 PM120 trades$2,63840 min
6/21/2026, 12:13:35 AM28 trades$2,5136 min
6/19/2026, 2:31:10 PM53 trades$2,15218 min
7/20/2026, 7:37:22 AM14 trades$2,0751 min
6/17/2026, 1:27:56 AM71 trades$1,98421 min
6/16/2026, 11:29:55 PM60 trades$1,87416 min
7/6/2026, 9:07:49 PM3 trades$1,7401 min
6/17/2026, 8:54:14 PM23 trades$1,6081 min
6/21/2026, 5:01:02 AM29 trades$1,5738 min
6/20/2026, 10:10:35 PM12 trades$1,5410 min
6/17/2026, 4:07:22 PM38 trades$1,50912 min
7/10/2026, 1:52:01 AM50 trades$1,48310 min
6/18/2026, 2:30:31 AM16 trades$1,3925 min
6/17/2026, 7:42:19 PM19 trades$1,3771 min
6/26/2026, 2:12:41 AM24 trades$1,3240 min
7/20/2026, 1:58:42 AM25 trades$1,2391 min
7/6/2026, 8:36:52 PM22 trades$1,1821 min
6/16/2026, 8:36:01 PM50 trades$1,15319 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-20
06-24
06-28
07-09
07-18
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
94% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.3 / M12.3 / H31.4