@Cyclone

#190,32151

0xf4544ad911122d6abcafede027c01671e3d77ecc

~466d· 607 markets · 3089 tradesVol: $117,5832026-08-04 23:41:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (153/571)0/20
1.47x (win $6,439 / loss $4,389)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.68912.9/15
Sortino 1.53710/10
$+0.2230 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 404 (571 markets)10/10
75/271 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($2,074 / $2,648)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+163
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,307$-662Vol: $89,958
SPORTS#1,436,264$-17Vol: $10,454
📈 ECONOMICS#552,290$-4Vol: $6,216
🎭 CULTURE#28,190$58Vol: $3,511
💻 TECH#224,569$-9Vol: $947
CRYPTO#1,178,887$-12Vol: $826
💰 FINANCE#61,471$8Vol: $783
📢 MENTIONS#19,024$11Vol: $317
🌤️ WEATHER#30,772$5Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$163
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$117,583
Total Redeem
$16
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
607
total markets
Trades
2479B / 610S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~466d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $100
Week
$19
Vol: $385
Month
$-10
Vol: $385
All Time
$163
Vol: $117,583

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
153W / 417L events
Realized PnL
$163
Win Rate
27%
153W / 417L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,867 (23.749708248879063% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2,949
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?$774
US-China trade deal before June?$144
Trump trade deal in April?$114
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$106
Barron Trump public statement before July?$100
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$96
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$96
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$90
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$82

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,425
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-361
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-318
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-198
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-72
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.069
HHI
1036
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.199
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.8%
Top-5 markets
54.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1663s — normal for humanCV 3.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)70.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.7%
High (>55c)4%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 6:37:28 AM4 trades$6672 min
9/14/2025, 7:12:04 PM2 trades$6021 min
4/24/2026, 9:00:58 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/8/2026, 6:02:32 PM2 trades$4100 min
4/7/2026, 11:51:05 PM12 trades$4093 min
10/30/2025, 4:40:51 AM20 trades$35227 min
4/16/2026, 6:56:26 AM15 trades$3163 min
6/29/2026, 4:59:50 AM6 trades$2764 min
7/15/2026, 7:31:38 AM15 trades$2524 min
4/28/2026, 6:39:30 AM16 trades$22714 min
10/2/2024, 2:01:00 AM2 trades$2034 min
6/24/2026, 4:00:14 AM2 trades$1920 min
9/14/2025, 5:49:26 PM6 trades$1909 min
9/17/2024, 2:43:11 AM2 trades$1501 min
11/1/2024, 5:40:14 PM4 trades$1490 min
7/6/2026, 7:11:58 AM2 trades$1430 min
5/10/2026, 8:22:31 AM7 trades$1424 min
10/27/2024, 5:28:01 AM1 trades$1410 min
5/10/2026, 7:52:20 AM12 trades$12516 min
8/3/2026, 3:31:06 PM2 trades$1250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-09
04-20
06-21
09-22
12-29
04-25
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70.4 / M25.7 / H4