thonka

@thonka

#190,74444

0xf462e4d8b6bf3cc6f1eaa8a698e742075e27e35f

~20d· 48 markets · 304 tradesVol: $39,2852026-08-05 16:35:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (34/48)20/20
1.01x (win $1,623 / loss $1,610)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0430.8/15
Sortino 0.0570.6/10
$+0.0014 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 427 (48 markets)10/10
15/20 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 464% of peak ($737 / $159)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+162
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Consistent
15/20 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row

Categories

8
SPORTS#74,119$289Vol: $21,504
🏛️ POLITICS#1,603,265$-577Vol: $9,155
CRYPTO#1,391,907$-51Vol: $3,556
🎭 CULTURE#8,290$465Vol: $2,668
🌤️ WEATHER#259,905$-19Vol: $1,064
📢 MENTIONS#21,975$7Vol: $423
💻 TECH#70,653$0Vol: $258
💰 FINANCE#194,110$0Vol: $35

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,285
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
95B / 209S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$162
Vol: $39,285

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
34W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$162
Win Rate
71%
34W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-230

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,176 (7.256153988524894% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$554
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$553
Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Caroline Dolehide$69
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$62
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group D$58
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire$51
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles$47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$42
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals$40
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$37

Top Losers

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-737
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-642
Will there be 3+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$-109
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx$-59
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-41
No one announced as next James Bond?$-22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on July 16?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.002
Sortino
0.002
HHI
411
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
32.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
66%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1212s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)65% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)80%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 4:03:01 AM2 trades$1,0930 min
6/26/2026, 12:43:59 AM7 trades$1,0400 min
6/28/2026, 11:35:29 PM18 trades$8275 min
6/22/2026, 4:00:41 AM18 trades$7941 min
6/17/2026, 1:48:49 PM6 trades$7450 min
7/10/2026, 4:57:25 AM36 trades$7171 min
6/29/2026, 2:35:02 AM12 trades$6815 min
7/4/2026, 6:37:47 AM6 trades$6570 min
7/10/2026, 8:05:43 PM2 trades$6000 min
7/13/2026, 5:55:44 AM17 trades$5764 min
7/6/2026, 3:53:07 AM12 trades$5100 min
7/9/2026, 9:26:46 PM2 trades$4830 min
7/14/2026, 1:28:17 AM9 trades$3691 min
7/10/2026, 5:28:41 AM4 trades$3632 min
7/7/2026, 1:51:56 AM2 trades$3130 min
6/28/2026, 4:02:08 PM5 trades$2610 min
7/10/2026, 1:42:31 AM2 trades$2490 min
6/29/2026, 7:57:10 AM3 trades$2445 min
7/7/2026, 3:59:46 AM1 trades$2410 min
7/9/2026, 7:17:16 PM3 trades$2340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-21
06-28
07-04
07-07
07-10
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M10.5 / H80