@lysergic

#2,460,11359

0xf4bd46f1394a3e3759634f38e68a13207726c685

~56d· 794 markets · 3084 tradesVol: $11,2312026-08-04 19:59:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (509/789)17.3/20
1.07x (win $902 / loss $845)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.60711.4/15
Sortino 0.9779.8/10
$+0.0164 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 46 (789 markets)10/10
32/56 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 103% of peak ($226 / $219)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,563,156$-40Vol: $5,441
🏛️ POLITICS#113,477$30Vol: $1,044
🎭 CULTURE#70,418$9Vol: $1,022
CRYPTO#1,280,354$-22Vol: $656
🌤️ WEATHER#278,292$-59Vol: $629
💰 FINANCE#486,864$-1Vol: $540
📢 MENTIONS#10,726$37Vol: $478
📈 ECONOMICS#622,775$-18Vol: $167
💻 TECH#225,976$-10Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-73
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,231
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
794
total markets
Trades
1910B / 1174S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-73
Vol: $11,231

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
509W / 280L events
Realized PnL
$-73
Win Rate
65%
509W / 280L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $258 (3.5415751920965977% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$143
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$66
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$49
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half$47
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?$40
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$29
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5$28
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$25
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan$15
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$15

Top Losers

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?$-46
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$-20
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$-20
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$-20
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?$-15
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-14
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 2.5$-12
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$-12
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-12
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.032
Sortino
0.039
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.2
Active
Markets / Day
9.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.8m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 65s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency9.6 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)67.5%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 10:22:18 AM56 trades$1824 min
6/27/2026, 12:58:56 PM12 trades$1511 min
5/16/2026, 4:33:21 PM36 trades$1258 min
5/16/2026, 10:31:29 PM38 trades$12310 min
4/29/2026, 7:29:52 PM135 trades$9269 min
5/17/2026, 5:21:00 PM27 trades$918 min
4/29/2026, 2:21:16 AM120 trades$8569 min
6/4/2026, 11:05:06 AM10 trades$790 min
5/18/2026, 12:55:39 AM26 trades$777 min
5/17/2026, 11:00:17 AM23 trades$716 min
4/29/2026, 10:47:54 AM102 trades$6855 min
5/14/2026, 1:51:30 AM92 trades$6711 min
5/17/2026, 5:06:19 AM20 trades$671 min
5/14/2026, 8:26:56 AM92 trades$637 min
5/20/2026, 5:00:37 AM9 trades$623 min
4/28/2026, 3:23:50 AM89 trades$5942 min
5/18/2026, 1:53:23 PM12 trades$461 min
4/28/2026, 10:22:54 AM68 trades$4338 min
5/15/2026, 1:40:07 PM10 trades$424 min
5/18/2026, 9:03:35 PM7 trades$422 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-05
05-14
05-25
06-14
06-30
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M22.8 / H67.5