astr0bot

@astr0bot

#2,959,21729

0xf4d55bc4839c7b22fa44d01c60666227210966e1

~474d· 7321 markets · 66452 tradesVol: $3,622,8672026-08-05 16:38:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (4131/7315)13.2/20
0.93x (win $79,090 / loss $85,223)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8580/15
Sortino -1.1460/10
$-0.0105 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 16 (7315 markets)10/10
200/445 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 531% of peak ($7,767 / $1,462)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.1 entries/market
Whale
$582,939 invested
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#1,603$4,797Vol: $2,385,253
CRYPTO#1,666,512$-4,288Vol: $999,003
🏛️ POLITICS#1,621,585$-1,308Vol: $90,865
SPORTS#1,843,540$-1,446Vol: $63,724
📈 ECONOMICS#577,304$-6Vol: $39,198
📢 MENTIONS#2,991$324Vol: $18,876
💻 TECH#253,903$-226Vol: $13,215
💰 FINANCE#604,808$-27Vol: $582

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,324
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,622,867
Total Redeem
$42,647
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7321
total markets
Trades
51519B / 14933S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~474d

Periods

#2
Today
$-35
Vol: $6,878
Week
$-371
Vol: $18,354
Month
$-392
Vol: $20,884
All Time
$-1,324
Vol: $3,622,867

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
4131W / 3184L events
Realized PnL
$-1,324
Win Rate
56%
4131W / 3184L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,785 (4.3674697430709175% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$2,247
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1,827
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$1,710
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1,707
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1,655
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1,607
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1,410
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1,370
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1,113
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1,010

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-2,980
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-1,123
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?$-773
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?$-772
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$-759
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-741
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-725
Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?$-665
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$-616
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-594

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
103.8
Very active
Markets / Day
11.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.4m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 83s — normal for humanCV 5.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock104 trades/day — automation11 markets/day — mass coverage84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.11
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.8%
Mid (20-55c)20.6%
High (>55c)37.6%

Sessions

#12
1/6/2026, 4:53:37 PM18 trades$6,3369 min
2/17/2026, 9:45:03 PM81 trades$6,23616 min
2/13/2026, 2:42:33 PM52 trades$6,11411 min
2/13/2026, 9:37:05 AM61 trades$3,93527 min
4/25/2026, 7:27:22 AM1060 trades$3,547524 min
2/17/2026, 2:35:39 PM38 trades$3,46520 min
2/11/2026, 7:04:11 PM76 trades$3,33739 min
2/16/2026, 6:53:43 PM77 trades$3,31925 min
1/2/2026, 4:57:29 PM2 trades$3,2890 min
2/17/2026, 8:19:27 PM41 trades$3,21423 min
2/13/2026, 4:59:03 PM94 trades$3,15045 min
2/17/2026, 11:27:01 AM56 trades$3,14316 min
2/17/2026, 10:07:45 PM56 trades$3,12316 min
2/17/2026, 7:43:41 AM50 trades$3,09014 min
2/17/2026, 3:07:55 PM12 trades$3,05513 min
2/16/2026, 8:51:15 PM26 trades$3,0374 min
2/16/2026, 7:25:17 PM8 trades$3,0329 min
2/17/2026, 10:48:09 PM10 trades$3,0277 min
2/14/2026, 1:27:27 PM2 trades$3,0072 min
2/13/2026, 2:58:57 PM9 trades$2,9995 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
03-02
09-17
11-30
02-13
05-12
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 525 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.8 / M20.6 / H37.6