@simpleinvestor

#3,033,21774

0xf56710c938232eb3a18f4116519f02c12fa5d3ef

~27d· 33 markets · 883 tradesVol: $322,4702026-08-03 17:50:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (9/22)5.5/20
3.88x (win $57,639 / loss $14,844)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.28715/15
Sortino 107.24110/10
$+0.5579 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1294 (22 markets)6/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($3,922 / $46,718)10/10

Badges

4
Whale
$76,712 invested
High Roller
$1,967/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,953$-3,536Vol: $281,234
💰 FINANCE#648,801$-457Vol: $15,834
⚽ SPORTS#210,672$26Vol: $15,017
₿ CRYPTO#1,017,916$-4Vol: $8,366
📈 ECONOMICS#172,492$0Vol: $107
🌤️ WEATHER#49,168$1Vol: $29

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,953
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$322,470
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
592B / 291S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,695
Vol: $0
Week
$1,695
Vol: $0
Month
$-106
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,953
Vol: $322,470

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
9W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-4,165
Win Rate
41%
9W / 13L
Profit Factor
3.88x
Avg Win
$6,404
Avg Loss
$-1,142

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41,172 (9.884573832125724% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$15,194
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14,000
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$11,978
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$9,360
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$6,550
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?$478
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?$43
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?$34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?$-5,822
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?$-3,362
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-2,203
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,327
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-808
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-418
Will G2 Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?$-393
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-343
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$-111
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.411
Sortino
5.311
HHI
744
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.819
Kelly %
0.3%
Half-Kelly
0.1%
Top-1 market
22.6%
Top-5 markets
48.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.6m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 285s — normal for humanCV 4.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.82
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.9%
High (>55c)67.4%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 8:56:02 AM40 trades$11,2897 min
6/11/2026, 8:10:28 AM1 trades$8,1200 min
6/10/2026, 5:22:49 PM2 trades$5,6151 min
6/12/2026, 8:17:13 AM31 trades$4,6726 min
6/10/2026, 11:09:40 AM3 trades$4,2828 min
6/30/2026, 12:12:08 AM15 trades$3,6500 min
6/29/2026, 12:06:19 PM5 trades$3,6250 min
6/10/2026, 2:11:33 PM14 trades$3,4412 min
6/12/2026, 3:30:54 AM1 trades$3,1000 min
6/10/2026, 5:07:31 PM1 trades$2,7850 min
6/11/2026, 12:41:27 AM13 trades$2,6250 min
6/11/2026, 12:44:51 PM1 trades$2,5000 min
7/17/2026, 2:13:22 AM2 trades$2,4840 min
6/11/2026, 12:35:37 PM1 trades$2,4500 min
6/11/2026, 5:05:34 PM9 trades$2,3191 min
6/28/2026, 8:21:56 PM18 trades$2,0251 min
6/11/2026, 8:23:52 AM14 trades$1,9200 min
6/22/2026, 8:40:28 AM6 trades$1,8190 min
6/11/2026, 5:22:15 PM5 trades$1,8105 min
6/10/2026, 6:35:39 PM1 trades$1,7000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-15
06-20
06-24
06-30
07-04
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M28.9 / H67.4