@CosmicMolten
#2,778,508770xf5bc6fe7be5b56e6bcfdaadd61a9926c35d29b43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
31% (38/122)0.6/20
3.27x (win $1,235 / loss $378)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.74515/15
Sortino 184.20110/10
$+1.1709 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 764 (122 markets)8.7/10
8/13 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($22 / $872)10/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Consistent
8/13 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#1,568,077$-319Vol: $8,931
⚽ SPORTS#101,443$146Vol: $5,342
🎭 CULTURE#766,820$-59Vol: $4,936
🏛️ POLITICS#1,379,978$-20Vol: $3,143
🌤️ WEATHER#269,583$-32Vol: $1,434
💰 FINANCE#564,323$-8Vol: $654
📢 MENTIONS#106,538$-4Vol: $370
💻 TECH#173,182$-0Vol: $67
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,876
Total Redeem
$225
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
126
total markets
Trades
193B / 152S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d
Periods
#2Today
$-15
Vol: $325
Week
$-15
Vol: $325
Month
$-15
Vol: $342
All Time
$-297
Vol: $24,876
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
31%
38W / 84L events
Realized PnL
$-297
Win Rate
31%
38W / 84L
Profit Factor
3.27x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $526 (1.771265141318977% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during trophy presentation?$232
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$160
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 20?$134
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$72
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$36
Top Losers
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$-32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-20
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$-20
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?$-13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-10
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.440
Sortino
7.546
HHI
527
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.044
Kelly %
8.8%
Half-Kelly
4.4%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
39.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.8m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.92
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)62.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.3%
High (>55c)15%
Sessions
#124/15/2026, 3:27:16 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/22/2026, 6:32:26 AM6 trades$4344 min
5/1/2026, 5:14:14 AM16 trades$28817 min
4/22/2026, 3:22:22 AM2 trades$2500 min
4/27/2026, 2:24:50 AM2 trades$1430 min
5/1/2026, 5:50:28 AM8 trades$1225 min
5/1/2026, 6:37:52 AM29 trades$10719 min
4/27/2026, 2:32:06 AM15 trades$1063 min
4/8/2026, 2:55:51 AM3 trades$1050 min
7/27/2026, 1:32:30 PM2 trades$930 min
4/9/2026, 12:22:53 PM4 trades$780 min
3/21/2026, 12:08:49 PM14 trades$7631 min
5/1/2026, 6:11:22 AM21 trades$7414 min
3/21/2026, 1:41:37 PM14 trades$7428 min
3/21/2026, 1:00:25 PM15 trades$7225 min
7/27/2026, 10:57:24 AM3 trades$690 min
5/1/2026, 4:57:14 AM15 trades$6812 min
7/27/2026, 12:13:01 PM4 trades$674 min
5/1/2026, 4:26:22 AM6 trades$661 min
4/7/2026, 3:11:15 PM2 trades$630 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
04-08
04-12
04-22
05-01
07-28
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.7 / M22.3 / H15