eitherway

@eitherway

#15,63655

0xf5d164e04a05f4aa99a57f131903566f8b61cdc9

~99d· 497 markets · 6476 tradesVol: $2,746,0032026-08-04 21:05:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (215/497)6.6/20
1.16x (win $315,975 / loss $273,305)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.39915/15
Sortino 4.25510/10
$+0.0665 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 49 (497 markets)10/10
49/97 profitable days (51%)5.1/10
Max DD 69% of peak ($35,196 / $51,264)0.3/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+9,359
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
Whale
$641,665 invested
High Roller
$2,153/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#4,251$13,105Vol: $2,386,234
🏛️ POLITICS#33,193$347Vol: $255,255
CRYPTO#1,664,666$-4,093Vol: $104,515

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,359
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,746,003
Total Redeem
$4,034
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
497
total markets
Trades
3641B / 2835S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
215W / 282L events
Realized PnL
$9,359
Win Rate
43%
215W / 282L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$1,470
Avg Loss
$-987

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,357 (2.709451373276459% of PnL)

Top Winners

Wild vs. Avalanche$9,651
Patriots vs. Dolphins$9,292
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$6,414
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-07?$5,894
Alabama vs. Missouri$5,476
Giants vs. Cowboys$5,132
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?$5,057
Eagles vs. Chiefs$4,736
Bengals vs. Browns$4,615
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-01?$4,576

Top Losers

Jaguars vs. Bengals$-7,436
Falcons vs. Vikings$-6,086
Golden Knights vs. Ducks$-4,904
CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5$-4,348
Ravens vs. Chiefs$-3,906
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-07?$-3,715
Lions vs. Chiefs$-3,573
Lions vs. Packers$-3,499
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-14?$-3,205
Rangers vs. Hurricanes$-3,154

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.125
Sortino
0.243
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.8m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 2.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.19
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30%
Mid (20-55c)53.6%
High (>55c)16.3%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 4:58:00 PM57 trades$16,91313 min
10/11/2025, 6:34:12 PM1 trades$14,4340 min
9/14/2025, 11:42:58 PM1 trades$14,4130 min
4/28/2026, 10:02:26 PM10 trades$10,6201 min
4/29/2026, 8:55:42 PM20 trades$9,3573 min
9/14/2025, 8:19:24 PM3 trades$9,0653 min
10/11/2025, 11:32:12 AM1 trades$8,9580 min
4/29/2026, 8:02:12 PM19 trades$8,6634 min
3/14/2026, 5:33:29 PM2 trades$8,6003 min
9/14/2025, 9:08:44 PM3 trades$8,1804 min
10/10/2025, 4:35:26 PM1 trades$7,7390 min
9/16/2025, 2:39:34 AM3 trades$7,6003 min
9/14/2025, 6:20:44 PM5 trades$7,5986 min
3/7/2026, 10:19:39 AM377 trades$7,54510 min
4/19/2026, 2:55:18 AM37 trades$7,3277 min
4/28/2026, 8:34:34 PM19 trades$7,2512 min
9/14/2025, 7:49:00 PM6 trades$7,1924 min
4/27/2026, 3:16:36 AM15 trades$7,0821 min
4/30/2026, 8:50:16 PM33 trades$7,0303 min
5/16/2026, 3:29:06 PM247 trades$6,9170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-07
12-28
03-05
03-21
04-30
05-23
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 146 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.19/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30 / M53.6 / H16.3