KARMASUR

@KARMASUR

#21,84490

0xf5d92058c977a9c957c6cbfbe3e9a27c83a9be50

~174d· 473 markets · 13402 tradesVol: $22,490,359 @dayal6312026-08-04 19:58:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (368/471)20/20
2.38x (win $100,518 / loss $42,180)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.64115/15
Sortino 5.56710/10
$+0.0045 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 476 (471 markets)10/10
135/166 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($10,357 / $58,338)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+6,049
DCA Master
Avg 29.9 entries/market
Whale
$13,108,217 invested
Consistent
135/166 profitable days
High Roller
$51,204/day
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#815,566$-4,254Vol: $7,579,986
🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,172$-391Vol: $6,384,769
CRYPTO#5,326$9,445Vol: $3,868,204
💻 TECH#4,185$183Vol: $2,382,511
📢 MENTIONS#6,195$96Vol: $982,620
📈 ECONOMICS#679,103$-1,018Vol: $414,787
SPORTS#41,305$877Vol: $302,434
💰 FINANCE#5,392$694Vol: $231,108
🌤️ WEATHER#165,479$-0Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,049
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,490,359
Total Redeem
$2,156
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
473
total markets
Trades
8639B / 4763S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~174d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,049
Vol: $22,490,359

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
368W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$6,049
Win Rate
78%
368W / 103L
Profit Factor
2.38x
Avg Win
$273
Avg Loss
$-454

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,475 (7.186588246573667% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$18,554
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$15,795
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9,126
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,870
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$2,500
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1$2,320
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$2,249
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1,954
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1,910
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1,656

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$-10,234
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-9,121
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-5,324
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$-5,259
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-1,621
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$-1,450
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1$-1,115
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$-1,061
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-762
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$-712

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.138
Sortino
0.131
HHI
440
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
23.2%
Half-Kelly
11.6%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
40.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.0m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 33s — normal for humanCV 3.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock52 trades/day — mass trading1.8 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)92.2%

Sessions

#12
12/5/2025, 5:56:21 AM156 trades$1,128,95979 min
12/20/2025, 10:00:29 PM189 trades$770,102116 min
12/22/2025, 2:53:31 PM46 trades$422,60746 min
1/20/2026, 12:08:14 AM71 trades$412,42120 min
1/8/2026, 2:03:45 AM50 trades$285,42841 min
6/3/2026, 10:36:34 PM26 trades$268,96114 min
4/8/2026, 2:52:45 AM51 trades$260,09322 min
12/21/2025, 1:52:21 AM47 trades$236,29746 min
1/30/2026, 11:59:42 AM108 trades$222,25823 min
12/19/2025, 11:49:25 PM58 trades$217,45716 min
11/3/2025, 12:58:57 PM134 trades$216,37232 min
1/20/2026, 1:19:36 AM13 trades$199,8009 min
10/30/2025, 10:16:05 AM43 trades$151,77525 min
1/6/2026, 4:59:29 PM3 trades$145,4733 min
1/8/2026, 3:16:35 AM15 trades$139,8606 min
4/8/2026, 2:17:11 PM17 trades$139,7207 min
10/30/2025, 12:07:51 AM60 trades$138,12752 min
1/19/2026, 11:34:04 PM18 trades$133,8868 min
11/9/2025, 11:43:21 AM60 trades$127,41844 min
12/5/2025, 5:57:45 PM17 trades$121,44730 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
11-25
01-05
02-03
03-18
05-03
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M3.6 / H92.2