@Arianrhod

#549,2737

0xf646a9e678a0b18e927675e5bc1f75006d1ee220

~6d· 22 markets · 217 tradesVol: $6,350,9292026-08-04 18:56:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (4/16)0/20
0.95x (win $46 / loss $48)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6070 (16 markets)0/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 219% of peak ($23 / $10)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+6
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#231,628$11Vol: $155
⚽ SPORTS#1,185,642$-4Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,350,929
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
116B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
4W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$6
Win Rate
25%
4W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44 (7.201309328968903% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$23
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$11
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5$2

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-34
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?$-1
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?$-1
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
5867
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
19.4%
Half-Kelly
9.7%
Top-1 market
73.1%
Top-5 markets
98.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
5/24
Normal
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.1m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
8
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 0.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern5/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80.2%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)16.4%

Sessions

#12
10/14/2025, 3:41:09 PM56 trades$2,21413 min
10/14/2025, 1:44:51 PM57 trades$1,21122 min
10/21/2025, 1:34:47 PM27 trades$1,02517 min
10/20/2025, 3:00:25 PM22 trades$78312 min
8/3/2026, 5:39:12 AM14 trades$264 min
7/11/2026, 8:18:59 AM33 trades$2215 min
7/11/2026, 3:14:46 PM2 trades$50 min
7/27/2026, 2:09:28 PM6 trades$34 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
10-20
10-21
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L80.2 / M3.4 / H16.4