@Jeremycas

#92,0909

0xf663a167a975520a983b1afdfea3386c1f5504de

~80d· 175 markets · 1085 tradesVol: $174,3942026-08-04 22:23:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (42/175)0/20
0.72x (win $9,956 / loss $13,811)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2550/15
Sortino -1.5300/10
$-0.1239 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 799 (175 markets)8.5/10
19/67 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 179% of peak ($8,722 / $4,867)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+791
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#808,898$-752Vol: $113,368
SPORTS#78,237$258Vol: $31,276
CRYPTO#1,542,355$-218Vol: $4,065

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$791
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$174,394
Total Redeem
$3
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
175
total markets
Trades
412B / 673S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Month
$-6
Vol: $0
All Time
$791
Vol: $174,394

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
42W / 133L events
Realized PnL
$791
Win Rate
24%
42W / 133L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$237
Avg Loss
$-109

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,494 (8.208724671023525% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$2,895
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$2,889
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$710
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$630
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$479
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$381
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$233
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$202
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$167
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$166

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Knicks$-5,569
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-941
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$-899
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$-705
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$-685
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$-590
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-581
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-507
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-307
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-248

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.065
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
2260
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.097
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.6%
Top-5 markets
84.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 4.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.68
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.1%
High (>55c)12.6%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 5:04:47 AM11 trades$9,4350 min
6/6/2026, 3:28:01 AM2 trades$4,1940 min
5/17/2026, 4:01:59 PM3 trades$3,9140 min
5/22/2026, 5:02:42 PM47 trades$3,0081 min
6/5/2026, 7:31:55 PM2 trades$2,7680 min
5/17/2026, 7:27:40 AM10 trades$2,6070 min
6/7/2026, 5:27:45 PM6 trades$2,5462 min
5/21/2026, 6:31:00 AM29 trades$2,5455 min
5/29/2026, 11:14:02 AM12 trades$2,2940 min
5/9/2026, 1:36:45 PM10 trades$2,1411 min
4/7/2026, 9:28:53 PM23 trades$1,7932 min
7/28/2026, 3:28:52 PM12 trades$1,7530 min
4/6/2026, 1:25:55 AM57 trades$1,2065 min
4/24/2026, 4:25:56 PM38 trades$1,1294 min
5/3/2026, 4:55:16 AM18 trades$1,1295 min
6/15/2026, 1:38:03 PM9 trades$1,0810 min
7/19/2026, 8:48:00 PM13 trades$1,0351 min
5/16/2026, 7:20:48 PM17 trades$1,0354 min
6/13/2026, 8:33:10 PM17 trades$9300 min
7/12/2026, 3:01:44 AM2 trades$8740 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
12-04
12-24
03-12
05-02
05-29
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 66 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.3 / M22.1 / H12.6