kikcr

@kikcr

#2,838,28563

0xf6950936ef440ba3b37bd40ce8b323b450800a19

~241d· 326 markets · 1019 tradesVol: $46,729 @don_mkt_2026-08-05 17:29:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (200/282)20/20
1.21x (win $898 / loss $745)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.55910.5/15
Sortino 0.6967/10
$+0.0067 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 429 (282 markets)10/10
112/155 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 292% of peak ($446 / $153)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Consistent
112/155 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,503,064$-81Vol: $18,242
🎭 CULTURE#743,277$-29Vol: $10,304
₿ CRYPTO#1,427,995$-69Vol: $6,482
📈 ECONOMICS#15,405$68Vol: $5,329
💰 FINANCE#611,217$-35Vol: $3,244
🌤️ WEATHER#292,481$-251Vol: $1,433
⚽ SPORTS#1,628,274$-65Vol: $934
💻 TECH#25,294$5Vol: $451
📢 MENTIONS#20,364$9Vol: $78

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-457
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,729
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
326
total markets
Trades
528B / 491S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~241d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-457
Vol: $46,729

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
200W / 82L events
Realized PnL
$-457
Win Rate
71%
200W / 82L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $351 (0.7686687956603525% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$204
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$102
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$46
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?$32
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$25
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?$22

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?$-203
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?$-132
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-36
US bank failure by January 31?$-30
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-30
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-20
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?$-20
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?$-20
Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 800M in Q1?$-20
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.029
Sortino
0.018
HHI
256
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
12.1%
Half-Kelly
6.0%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
27.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 842s — normal for humanCV 3.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.48
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)90.9%

Sessions

#12
2/25/2026, 3:43:20 PM31 trades$2,9567 min
3/17/2026, 5:08:59 AM2 trades$2,3430 min
5/27/2026, 5:52:25 PM7 trades$1,6030 min
4/9/2026, 10:12:39 PM2 trades$1,4550 min
3/30/2026, 11:21:28 AM2 trades$1,4100 min
3/30/2026, 9:02:52 AM2 trades$1,1090 min
6/14/2026, 3:23:12 PM23 trades$1,0350 min
3/20/2026, 1:49:57 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
5/26/2026, 4:36:35 PM27 trades$8002 min
7/31/2026, 2:14:29 PM6 trades$6165 min
10/18/2025, 2:40:19 PM1 trades$6010 min
7/9/2026, 12:24:16 PM2 trades$6000 min
9/17/2025, 7:23:30 PM1 trades$5920 min
9/19/2025, 3:32:52 PM2 trades$5920 min
9/17/2025, 2:06:38 PM1 trades$5500 min
3/11/2026, 12:09:17 PM5 trades$5381 min
4/3/2026, 10:56:47 AM6 trades$5131 min
4/22/2026, 9:15:02 AM4 trades$5091 min
5/16/2026, 8:18:14 PM4 trades$5041 min
4/17/2026, 10:36:54 AM4 trades$5021 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-17
11-26
01-01
02-08
03-27
05-17
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 191 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M4.5 / H90.9