@natcoh

#94,56176

0xf6a368cff15ffe32e0efbd54f4e9220a8afcc789

~67d· 85 markets · 165 tradesVol: $13,1042026-08-04 19:19:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (30/82)3.3/20
2.19x (win $1,327 / loss $606)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.99015/15
Sortino 18.29010/10
$+0.3934 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 531 (82 markets)9.8/10
21/52 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($158 / $859)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+750
Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 18%

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#28,394$460Vol: $6,340
⚽ SPORTS#124,795$95Vol: $5,453
🎭 CULTURE#15,329$168Vol: $615
📢 MENTIONS#151,720$-35Vol: $221
📈 ECONOMICS#583,479$-7Vol: $57

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$750
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,104
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
121B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$750
Vol: $13,104

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
30W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$750
Win Rate
37%
30W / 52L
Profit Factor
2.19x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $772 (1.0292615946569261% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$374
Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?$202
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$197
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?$194
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$54
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$37
Trump wins every swing state?$30
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?$28
Spurs vs. Thunder$26
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$24

Top Losers

Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$-56
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$-52
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-40
Cannonier vs. Rodrigues$-38
Will the announcers say "White House" or "Trump" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?$-35
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-25
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$-25
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$-20
Kings vs. Clippers$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.207
Sortino
1.026
HHI
354
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.390
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
33.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 772s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)52% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.88
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.4%
Mid (20-55c)28.9%
High (>55c)20.7%

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 4:38:27 AM2 trades$3893 min
9/11/2025, 6:07:01 PM1 trades$2970 min
11/25/2024, 4:58:15 AM3 trades$1842 min
11/24/2024, 4:37:27 PM1 trades$1490 min
11/16/2024, 12:46:19 PM1 trades$1340 min
11/25/2024, 5:25:26 PM2 trades$1223 min
11/25/2024, 5:00:48 PM1 trades$1200 min
4/29/2025, 4:11:33 PM3 trades$1021 min
11/25/2024, 8:33:00 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/29/2025, 4:17:47 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/4/2026, 4:41:54 AM4 trades$950 min
6/23/2026, 8:54:35 PM4 trades$830 min
11/15/2024, 4:10:19 PM1 trades$800 min
11/6/2024, 3:34:45 PM2 trades$801 min
4/20/2025, 3:57:40 PM3 trades$704 min
2/1/2025, 3:13:46 AM5 trades$682 min
11/5/2025, 1:52:31 PM2 trades$663 min
11/5/2025, 6:16:49 AM2 trades$604 min
3/8/2026, 12:56:29 AM1 trades$550 min
4/27/2025, 3:33:16 AM1 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-07
01-30
11-04
11-26
01-26
02-24
04-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.4 / M28.9 / H20.7