overgame

@overgame

#121,51191

0xf6ad6e75b6bcf9b5d25228138c6f81772bdc4c12

~139d· 152 markets · 399 tradesVol: $64,451 @zsx1592072461332026-08-04 19:09:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (138/150)20/20
3.83x (win $680 / loss $178)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.66515/15
Sortino 13.44110/10
$+0.0179 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 283 (150 markets)10/10
93/103 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($64 / $514)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+450
Consistent
93/103 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#74,372$74Vol: $24,691
CRYPTO#105,864$81Vol: $24,588
🌤️ WEATHER#251,921$-13Vol: $10,850
📈 ECONOMICS#60,242$5Vol: $1,264
💰 FINANCE#516,490$-3Vol: $1,214
🎭 CULTURE#10,977$297Vol: $883
SPORTS#367,487$3Vol: $482
💻 TECH#50,106$1Vol: $72

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$450
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,451
Total Redeem
$150
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
234B / 165S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $231
Week
$1
Vol: $231
Month
$1
Vol: $231
All Time
$450
Vol: $64,451

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
138W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$450
Win Rate
92%
138W / 12L
Profit Factor
3.83x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $462 (1.0259264196214344% of PnL)

Top Winners

Yoon arrested by Friday?$335
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$26
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$12
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$6
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$5

Top Losers

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-66
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-40
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$-40
Doge ETF approved in 2025?$-20
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$-8
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.139
Sortino
0.270
HHI
211
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
36.4%
Half-Kelly
18.2%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
22.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.74
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)91.9%

Sessions

#12
2/18/2025, 1:09:39 PM1 trades$1,5970 min
2/18/2025, 9:59:59 AM2 trades$1,5964 min
2/18/2025, 5:01:19 PM1 trades$1,4750 min
2/18/2025, 9:50:43 AM1 trades$1,4730 min
5/26/2026, 6:57:51 AM2 trades$9870 min
10/17/2025, 3:07:59 AM3 trades$8343 min
4/2/2026, 9:46:03 AM2 trades$7730 min
9/6/2025, 9:05:04 AM1 trades$6780 min
11/4/2024, 2:05:36 AM5 trades$6593 min
12/27/2025, 2:33:35 AM4 trades$6487 min
5/13/2026, 12:47:48 AM12 trades$6401 min
5/15/2026, 9:26:57 AM5 trades$6400 min
5/12/2026, 12:20:54 AM2 trades$6370 min
10/15/2024, 1:01:18 PM2 trades$5981 min
11/11/2025, 3:58:56 AM1 trades$5960 min
5/21/2026, 1:47:39 AM2 trades$5900 min
11/10/2025, 2:50:33 AM5 trades$5874 min
2/7/2025, 4:12:02 AM1 trades$5600 min
2/1/2026, 3:16:36 AM2 trades$5001 min
12/2/2025, 7:03:56 AM1 trades$4990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
02-17
04-13
08-14
12-27
04-08
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M5.6 / H91.9