@leolol

#2,295,84940

0xf6c36aa99af2c91d642e45db5f5f913e951be4ba

~24d· 33 markets · 162 tradesVol: $2,9632026-08-04 21:13:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (26/33)20/20
0.54x (win $85 / loss $157)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9590/15
Sortino -4.1010/10
$-0.0577 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 446 (33 markets)10/10
16/21 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 410% of peak ($95 / $23)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Consistent
16/21 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#273,325$-41Vol: $2,963

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-41
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,963
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
66B / 96S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
26W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-41
Win Rate
79%
26W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (0.6063106796116504% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?$11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8?$7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?$7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?$7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?$5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?$3

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$-48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.219
HHI
403
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
29.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.7h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14751s — normal for humanCV 0.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 7:53:09 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/5/2026, 6:55:49 AM6 trades$891 min
6/12/2026, 9:14:27 AM4 trades$670 min
6/28/2026, 11:50:11 AM2 trades$630 min
6/12/2026, 1:20:30 AM7 trades$611 min
6/4/2026, 6:16:00 AM4 trades$560 min
6/4/2026, 6:09:48 AM2 trades$520 min
6/11/2026, 10:56:37 AM4 trades$500 min
6/6/2026, 7:44:09 AM7 trades$505 min
6/14/2026, 1:19:39 AM5 trades$481 min
6/10/2026, 9:09:31 AM4 trades$460 min
6/18/2026, 4:02:14 PM2 trades$430 min
6/9/2026, 2:22:12 PM4 trades$420 min
6/27/2026, 4:03:22 AM2 trades$410 min
6/7/2026, 3:11:18 AM3 trades$410 min
6/7/2026, 10:31:39 AM2 trades$410 min
6/8/2026, 2:59:13 AM2 trades$410 min
6/11/2026, 2:39:57 AM4 trades$410 min
6/27/2026, 2:53:38 PM5 trades$373 min
6/10/2026, 3:36:39 AM5 trades$340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-28
06-05
06-08
06-11
06-14
06-18
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3 / M0 / H97