@0xf742ed…9996

#25,07761

0xf742ed4afed7d55144c907152abbcd8da36d400e

~10d· 15 markets · 321 tradesVol: $97,5582026-08-04 18:55:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (2/14)0/20
3.33x (win $2,819 / loss $846)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.83215/15
Sortino 30.95610/10
$+0.3612 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2285 (14 markets)1.1/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($439 / $2,198)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+5,056
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 20%

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#420$4,915Vol: $88,361
🎭 CULTURE#799,018$-269Vol: $5,805
🏛️ POLITICS#1,386,477$-22Vol: $2,391
💰 FINANCE#7,669$432Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,056
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$97,558
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
84B / 237S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,340
Vol: $13,792
Week
$1,336
Vol: $17,850
Month
$2,633
Vol: $22,939
All Time
$5,056
Vol: $97,558

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
2W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$5,056
Win Rate
14%
2W / 12L
Profit Factor
3.33x
Avg Win
$1,409
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,819 (0.5575325558948718% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?$2,171
Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?$648

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?$-231
No one announced as next James Bond?$-176
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?$-128
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on June 27?$-75
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 28?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 22?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?$-20
Will Saundra Pelletier be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.288
Sortino
1.684
HHI
3791
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.373
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
57.1%
Top-5 markets
90.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
62%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 173s — normal for humanCV 2.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)62% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)33.3%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 1:44:38 PM38 trades$4,10411 min
7/16/2026, 6:18:40 AM20 trades$2,9532 min
6/28/2026, 5:18:52 PM14 trades$1,5290 min
7/16/2026, 3:07:17 AM53 trades$1,09513 min
6/28/2026, 1:49:55 PM1 trades$8820 min
7/26/2026, 1:43:15 AM3 trades$5230 min
6/28/2026, 5:56:40 PM3 trades$5100 min
7/16/2026, 6:07:11 AM15 trades$4901 min
7/29/2026, 2:20:47 AM14 trades$48111 min
7/16/2026, 3:30:32 AM29 trades$43010 min
7/16/2026, 4:38:19 AM28 trades$3860 min
7/25/2026, 3:22:12 PM9 trades$3220 min
7/26/2026, 3:53:12 AM21 trades$3004 min
6/21/2026, 1:30:59 PM1 trades$2740 min
7/16/2026, 3:55:52 AM9 trades$2453 min
7/16/2026, 7:16:07 AM4 trades$2250 min
7/16/2026, 3:41:47 PM9 trades$1500 min
7/28/2026, 3:44:28 AM6 trades$1190 min
7/28/2026, 3:22:22 AM10 trades$1002 min
6/21/2026, 4:37:52 PM2 trades$880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-22
06-27
06-28
07-16
07-22
07-26
07-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
78.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.07/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44 / M22.6 / H33.3