@p-trader-2026

#60,94757

0xf75991542e0adca9237608ba56f04c74668d0221

~38d· 192 markets · 616 tradesVol: $72,3932026-08-04 16:19:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (34/184)0/20
1.38x (win $5,303 / loss $3,851)7.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.11215/15
Sortino 2.70510/10
$+0.2131 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 343 (184 markets)10/10
16/35 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 64% of peak ($2,481 / $3,847)1.1/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,618
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#8,446$3,254Vol: $31,156
🌤️ WEATHER#4,261$250Vol: $17,049
🎭 CULTURE#63,592$12Vol: $10,695
💻 TECH#258,072$-1,671Vol: $8,143
📈 ECONOMICS#662,797$-119Vol: $3,379
💰 FINANCE#629,231$-79Vol: $1,123
⚽ SPORTS#1,538,770$-34Vol: $804
₿ CRYPTO#289,738$5Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,618
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,393
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
192
total markets
Trades
271B / 345S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $204
All Time
$1,618
Vol: $72,393

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
34W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$1,618
Win Rate
18%
34W / 150L
Profit Factor
1.38x
Avg Win
$156
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,374 (2.70316237044911% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?$3,847
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$327
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 29?$199
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-19?$121
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$114
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$100
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$95
Liaoning Tieren FC leading at halftime?$88
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$85
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?$77

Top Losers

Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-2,000
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?$-245
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$-168
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-19?$-112
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?$-100
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?$-100
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on August 18?$-100
Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?$-89
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?$-59
Will SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?$-59

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.057
Sortino
0.104
HHI
1237
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.198
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.4%
Top-5 markets
58.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 5.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.1%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)17%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 3:46:58 PM95 trades$4,6020 min
5/31/2026, 4:57:21 PM8 trades$2,9201 min
11/5/2025, 7:48:33 PM2 trades$2,4002 min
5/5/2026, 2:02:38 AM61 trades$2,3544 min
5/3/2026, 4:50:40 PM21 trades$1,1690 min
5/3/2026, 10:06:36 PM40 trades$8770 min
5/3/2026, 3:12:00 PM19 trades$8730 min
5/2/2026, 4:55:32 PM42 trades$7780 min
5/4/2026, 7:39:04 PM34 trades$6170 min
7/6/2026, 11:59:25 PM21 trades$5931 min
5/19/2026, 5:15:01 AM11 trades$4680 min
6/29/2025, 10:36:01 AM4 trades$3275 min
7/4/2025, 3:43:07 PM5 trades$2973 min
4/19/2026, 1:07:48 PM14 trades$2970 min
6/29/2025, 7:01:07 AM5 trades$2406 min
5/3/2026, 5:37:02 AM9 trades$2360 min
7/15/2025, 7:46:38 PM2 trades$2330 min
6/13/2025, 12:09:27 AM2 trades$2140 min
7/9/2025, 6:22:22 PM2 trades$2110 min
6/30/2025, 12:39:46 PM2 trades$2011 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-08
07-04
08-11
03-30
05-02
05-09
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 390 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
38% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.35/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.1 / M22.9 / H17