@WeatherHive
#1,587,506610xf75f6c0d0f17751ab95b77486dd6f483c10fb458
~9d· 52 markets · 539 tradesVol: $35,8122026-08-04 16:20:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (18/52)2.3/20
1.52x (win $1,411 / loss $931)8.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.17615/15
Sortino 7.86610/10
$+0.0842 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 549 (52 markets)9.8/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($424 / $904)4.6/10
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#17,802$17Vol: $35,492
⚽ SPORTS#1,472,997$-21Vol: $320
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,812
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
223B / 316S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
18W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
35%
18W / 34L
Profit Factor
1.52x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-28
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $657 (142.6160520607375% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$288
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$215
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 17?$155
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?$127
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?$105
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?$88
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?$87
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$63
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?$51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17?$48
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?$-360
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$-112
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?$-87
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?$-84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?$-44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 17?$-23
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?$-21
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.255
Sortino
0.296
HHI
845
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.084
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
56.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
41.5
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.8m
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 153s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity41 trades/day — high frequency4.0 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.37
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.6%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)61.4%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 6:52:38 AM41 trades$1,4499 min
6/20/2026, 5:36:53 PM8 trades$8070 min
6/18/2026, 4:56:56 AM6 trades$6462 min
6/20/2026, 7:47:28 AM10 trades$6053 min
6/20/2026, 4:20:29 PM5 trades$4892 min
6/20/2026, 2:50:22 PM40 trades$44511 min
6/19/2026, 8:14:19 AM5 trades$4420 min
6/20/2026, 2:47:20 AM19 trades$4231 min
6/26/2026, 2:23:22 PM6 trades$4124 min
6/20/2026, 9:21:59 AM1 trades$3700 min
6/18/2026, 4:47:53 AM22 trades$3382 min
6/18/2026, 5:10:07 AM10 trades$2883 min
6/20/2026, 2:27:28 AM7 trades$2690 min
6/20/2026, 2:08:11 AM6 trades$2410 min
6/17/2026, 5:35:26 PM8 trades$2380 min
6/20/2026, 3:37:11 AM14 trades$2377 min
6/20/2026, 4:57:23 AM11 trades$2230 min
6/20/2026, 5:19:16 AM2 trades$1972 min
6/16/2026, 1:51:37 PM10 trades$1710 min
6/20/2026, 2:56:34 AM6 trades$1690 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-26
06-27
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.6 / M13 / H61.4