@0183648392

#32,84056

0xf7a4f1a3716f79e4f588642b5d60e61ddc1cf148

~114d· 929 markets · 10867 tradesVol: $413,7172026-08-05 16:37:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (293/929)0.8/20
1.19x (win $46,564 / loss $39,160)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.30715/15
Sortino 3.88010/10
$+0.1099 per $1 invested5.5/10
HHI 32 (929 markets)10/10
55/113 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($4,186 / $9,135)4.8/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+3,633
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Whale
$67,358 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#555$3,653Vol: $412,912
SPORTS#1,487,989$-24Vol: $500
CRYPTO#316,101$4Vol: $305

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,633
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$413,717
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
929
total markets
Trades
8197B / 2670S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$103
Vol: $1,234
Week
$-460
Vol: $10,256
Month
$-450
Vol: $11,552
All Time
$3,633
Vol: $413,717

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
293W / 636L events
Realized PnL
$3,633
Win Rate
32%
293W / 636L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$159
Avg Loss
$-64

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,075 (1.3971179255670556% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 19?$1,743
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?$1,701
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 3?$1,631
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 26?$1,391
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?$1,313
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?$1,279
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 1?$882
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on April 24?$846
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?$820
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?$795

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 18?$-1,145
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?$-775
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 14?$-709
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?$-696
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 2?$-673
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 29?$-664
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?$-520
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?$-465
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$-447
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 7?$-413

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.120
Sortino
0.197
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.9
Very active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.2m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock64 trades/day — mass trading5.5 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.7
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.8%
Mid (20-55c)51.3%
High (>55c)10.9%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 7:41:49 AM162 trades$1,28828 min
4/3/2026, 5:29:59 PM37 trades$88517 min
7/4/2026, 10:05:34 PM10 trades$7920 min
3/29/2026, 11:04:38 AM121 trades$73195 min
4/29/2026, 2:43:28 PM66 trades$72758 min
4/26/2026, 3:31:54 PM6 trades$7152 min
4/24/2026, 6:43:44 PM27 trades$61414 min
5/5/2026, 9:09:38 PM100 trades$60948 min
7/12/2026, 9:18:25 PM16 trades$59416 min
2/18/2026, 6:05:42 PM13 trades$57417 min
4/1/2026, 10:56:45 AM49 trades$51729 min
7/7/2026, 12:16:07 PM37 trades$49510 min
7/9/2026, 10:40:43 PM7 trades$4610 min
2/18/2026, 6:42:32 PM16 trades$46021 min
7/7/2026, 3:36:34 PM9 trades$4566 min
4/2/2026, 6:57:13 PM42 trades$45227 min
5/5/2026, 8:18:48 PM35 trades$43115 min
7/8/2026, 2:09:11 PM18 trades$4104 min
3/6/2026, 11:06:05 AM2 trades$4082 min
6/20/2026, 2:42:29 PM20 trades$4074 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
03-01
03-19
04-27
05-15
06-19
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.7/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.8 / M51.3 / H10.9