@shorny
#3,062,858110xf807bf2f9de09f9562009575ca77d67cafe9c5dc
~57d· 95 markets · 1915 tradesVol: $806,7952026-08-04 14:07:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (26/79)1.5/20
0.42x (win $30,579 / loss $72,563)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0140/15
Sortino -6.0630/10
$-0.2705 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 353 (79 markets)10/10
10/38 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 784% of peak ($48,117 / $6,134)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Whale
$155,190 invested
High Roller
$2,217/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,139$-5,032Vol: $390,111
⚽ SPORTS#1,876,521$-9,376Vol: $364,199
📈 ECONOMICS#4,609$517Vol: $52,485
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-13,891
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$806,795
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
588B / 1327S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d
Periods
#2Today
$-501
Vol: $0
Week
$-404
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,552
Vol: $0
All Time
$-13,891
Vol: $806,795
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
26W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-13,520
Win Rate
33%
26W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$1,176
Avg Loss
$-1,512
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,329 (1.0598269989608105% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$5,606
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5,527
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$3,196
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2,895
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$1,406
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,301
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,080
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1,066
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$818
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)$764
Top Losers
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-12,444
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-6,289
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-6,272
Spurs vs. Knicks$-4,709
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-4,679
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-3,483
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-2,792
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-2,752
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-2,489
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?$-2,276
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.311
Sortino
-0.303
HHI
390
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.269
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
35.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
27.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.4
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 200s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency1.4 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.06
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31.3%
Mid (20-55c)28.2%
High (>55c)40.5%
Sessions
#125/24/2026, 3:09:23 AM45 trades$29,0181 min
7/9/2026, 4:18:20 AM12 trades$11,5234 min
5/24/2026, 2:08:03 AM29 trades$10,7394 min
7/9/2026, 4:29:10 AM19 trades$8,8155 min
7/19/2026, 3:11:31 AM17 trades$8,4207 min
6/11/2026, 3:50:46 AM28 trades$7,7087 min
7/13/2026, 3:41:10 PM18 trades$7,6687 min
7/20/2026, 11:32:49 AM26 trades$7,4624 min
6/12/2026, 2:28:49 PM34 trades$7,4396 min
7/22/2026, 3:02:57 AM27 trades$6,7479 min
7/3/2026, 6:06:58 AM18 trades$6,5973 min
6/6/2026, 1:43:21 AM23 trades$6,4135 min
7/20/2026, 10:53:57 PM22 trades$6,2868 min
6/2/2026, 9:32:41 AM5 trades$5,5442 min
6/28/2026, 10:03:58 PM34 trades$4,9582 min
7/20/2026, 10:36:46 PM14 trades$4,9106 min
7/14/2026, 7:52:43 PM4 trades$4,8810 min
6/28/2026, 2:57:26 AM9 trades$4,7443 min
6/5/2026, 2:46:00 PM12 trades$4,7290 min
7/11/2026, 10:22:31 AM20 trades$4,4531 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-04
06-11
06-21
07-04
07-18
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.3 / M28.2 / H40.5