@1stJOhn
#2,830,389140xf86cb66bba28ac16d666b14c0487c1ae86a39074
~27d· 276 markets · 1034 tradesVol: $31,0772026-08-04 23:42:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (133/276)9.1/20
0.68x (win $1,040 / loss $1,537)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9770/15
Sortino -6.0410/10
$-0.1226 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3328 (276 markets)0/10
13/27 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 807% of peak ($600 / $74)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
4🌤️ WEATHER#293,593$-320Vol: $21,602
₿ CRYPTO#1,466,605$-99Vol: $9,025
💰 FINANCE#592,289$-18Vol: $403
⚽ SPORTS#333,215$5Vol: $47
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-432
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,077
Total Redeem
$7,571
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
276
total markets
Trades
509B / 525S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Today
$6
Vol: $26
Week
$9
Vol: $72
Month
$67
Vol: $184
All Time
$-432
Vol: $31,077
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
132W / 143L events
Realized PnL
$-432
Win Rate
48%
132W / 143L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-13
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $252 (0.5826155413540799% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?$110
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?$97
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?$45
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 14?$44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?$31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?$29
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on May 16?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$17
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$-140
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-115
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$-60
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on April 29?$-43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 27?$-43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 28?$-33
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 27?$-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$-30
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.307
Sortino
-0.287
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
10.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.2m
between trades
Night Trading
58%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 342s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)58% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.75
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24%
Mid (20-55c)25.9%
High (>55c)50.1%
Sessions
#125/14/2026, 2:07:44 AM9 trades$10,0000 min
5/8/2026, 5:00:51 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/8/2026, 2:57:39 AM8 trades$3773 min
4/27/2026, 2:00:38 AM19 trades$2932 min
5/4/2026, 2:47:24 AM38 trades$22019 min
5/10/2026, 6:05:07 AM4 trades$2030 min
5/11/2026, 4:01:51 AM2 trades$2000 min
4/28/2026, 9:59:10 AM4 trades$1820 min
4/28/2026, 5:50:16 PM3 trades$1680 min
4/27/2026, 1:47:24 AM22 trades$1368 min
4/27/2026, 3:14:52 AM5 trades$1330 min
4/27/2026, 3:09:46 AM7 trades$1310 min
5/4/2026, 10:27:18 AM23 trades$1305 min
4/27/2026, 1:33:30 AM9 trades$1286 min
5/4/2026, 3:27:02 PM17 trades$1190 min
4/27/2026, 3:04:30 AM13 trades$1100 min
4/26/2026, 9:55:20 PM18 trades$1071 min
4/26/2026, 10:16:44 PM18 trades$1010 min
5/4/2026, 2:56:36 PM13 trades$980 min
4/24/2026, 3:01:36 PM16 trades$945 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-28
05-04
05-08
05-12
05-16
07-29
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
76% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24 / M25.9 / H50.1