@0xf86f07…1583

#2,929,71023

0xf86f074c2aa7191533c50c77899148494bce256f

~100d· 109 markets · 1320 tradesVol: $352,6422026-08-04 22:44:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (50/105)8.8/20
0.42x (win $33,591 / loss $80,881)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3660/15
Sortino -3.5300/10
$-0.3894 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 378 (105 markets)10/10
35/73 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 380% of peak ($65,114 / $17,157)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 16.5 entries/market
Whale
$121,428 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#6,459$4,857Vol: $305,403
₿ CRYPTO#1,665,266$-4,247Vol: $29,907
📈 ECONOMICS#678,508$-900Vol: $4,500
💰 FINANCE#635,994$-121Vol: $4,388
⚽ SPORTS#1,562,655$-41Vol: $3,912
💻 TECH#255,179$-361Vol: $2,500
🎭 CULTURE#780,305$-99Vol: $1,400
📢 MENTIONS#165,155$-111Vol: $632

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,023
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$352,642
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
712B / 608S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$-20
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $0
Month
$-24
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,023
Vol: $352,642

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
50W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-1,023
Win Rate
48%
50W / 55L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$672
Avg Loss
$-1,586

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,863 (15.512664293537787% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7,557
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$4,517
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3,789
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3,008
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2,025
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1,260
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1,256
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$1,084
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$1,048
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$859

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-18,164
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-12,622
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-9,371
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-7,277
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-5,918
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-3,600
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-3,524
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-2,798
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$-2,435
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$-2,195

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.175
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
993
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.257
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.2%
Top-5 markets
54.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 406s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.48
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)55.5%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 7:25:34 PM5 trades$8,2282 min
4/3/2026, 4:26:53 PM2 trades$7,6700 min
4/5/2026, 4:29:21 AM2 trades$6,0000 min
6/10/2026, 6:29:09 PM15 trades$5,2308 min
4/3/2026, 3:35:55 PM4 trades$4,6900 min
5/7/2026, 1:00:32 PM3 trades$4,6462 min
6/7/2026, 7:12:13 PM37 trades$4,5739 min
6/12/2026, 4:18:04 AM2 trades$4,5000 min
5/12/2026, 5:51:22 PM25 trades$4,4960 min
4/4/2026, 5:41:31 AM3 trades$4,4460 min
5/31/2026, 4:02:26 PM15 trades$4,1341 min
6/1/2026, 12:29:16 PM9 trades$3,4656 min
6/10/2026, 6:11:55 PM13 trades$3,2574 min
4/6/2026, 7:24:33 AM14 trades$3,2080 min
4/26/2026, 6:10:14 PM5 trades$3,1920 min
6/1/2026, 3:17:27 PM6 trades$2,8000 min
5/26/2026, 3:10:06 PM7 trades$2,7521 min
5/10/2026, 6:07:10 PM1 trades$2,7360 min
4/10/2026, 10:37:21 AM1 trades$2,6300 min
5/27/2026, 12:27:56 PM4 trades$2,4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-25
03-22
04-12
05-15
06-14
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27 / M17.6 / H55.5