trumpfive

@trumpfive

#123,67887

0xf8d241504db9ae2b305f69e3595b8821156b5bf5

~123d· 148 markets · 452 tradesVol: $73,646 @anna200408132026-08-05 02:44:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (118/143)20/20
2.33x (win $645 / loss $276)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.45315/15
Sortino 7.55410/10
$+0.0124 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 1224 (143 markets)6.4/10
73/86 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($64 / $413)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+432
Consistent
73/86 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#49,772$362Vol: $29,817
🏛️ POLITICS#138,052$18Vol: $26,021
🌤️ WEATHER#21,059$12Vol: $11,442
📢 MENTIONS#148,130$-27Vol: $3,896
SPORTS#150,922$62Vol: $1,656
💰 FINANCE#117,902$2Vol: $570
💻 TECH#46,485$1Vol: $138
📈 ECONOMICS#141,423$0Vol: $63

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$432
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,646
Total Redeem
$1,331
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
230B / 222S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $498
Month
$1
Vol: $498
All Time
$432
Vol: $73,646

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
118W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$432
Win Rate
83%
118W / 25L
Profit Factor
2.33x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $362 (0.839273721021793% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 17?$276
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$36
Will Shayne say "Polymarket" 5+ times during 60 Minutes?$21
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? $13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$12
Trump out as President by March 31?$11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$10

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 14?$-68
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?$-50
Will Shayne say "Polymarket" 10+ times during 60 Minutes?$-48
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 29?$-44
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$-23
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-15
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$-11
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$-7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-5
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.128
Sortino
0.198
HHI
861
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
42.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 415s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)8.7%
High (>55c)86.1%

Sessions

#12
2/22/2025, 8:53:20 AM1 trades$3,0530 min
2/22/2025, 5:03:04 AM1 trades$2,8350 min
2/22/2025, 9:17:52 AM1 trades$2,3390 min
2/20/2025, 6:50:33 PM1 trades$1,8400 min
2/20/2025, 9:53:46 AM7 trades$1,79117 min
5/19/2026, 1:27:22 AM21 trades$1,2876 min
2/22/2025, 3:18:10 PM4 trades$1,2423 min
2/23/2025, 1:18:43 PM3 trades$1,2191 min
5/11/2026, 7:46:50 AM2 trades$1,1450 min
12/1/2025, 12:37:36 AM12 trades$1,02719 min
12/11/2025, 6:38:33 AM3 trades$7671 min
12/5/2025, 2:43:21 PM1 trades$7640 min
4/17/2026, 7:46:46 AM2 trades$7090 min
2/22/2025, 10:48:57 AM1 trades$7030 min
5/13/2026, 1:14:19 AM3 trades$6490 min
12/29/2025, 3:30:45 AM3 trades$5822 min
12/1/2025, 10:01:36 AM1 trades$5650 min
10/16/2024, 6:33:16 AM2 trades$5561 min
4/1/2026, 9:31:09 AM8 trades$5060 min
5/14/2026, 8:51:10 AM9 trades$5036 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
02-24
04-30
09-19
12-29
04-11
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.2 / M8.7 / H86.1