@Forrest2

#2,922,91958

0xf91c22b5f3e9603969775f33892829f5996d327d

~13d· 21 markets · 100 tradesVol: $27,0552026-08-04 21:24:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (7/12)14.2/20
1.16x (win $383 / loss $329)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.23715/15
Sortino 1.55310/10
$+0.0062 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 1277 (12 markets)6.1/10
5/8 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 81% of peak ($224 / $277)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
Consistent
5/8 profitable days
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#132,269$20Vol: $21,706
⚽ SPORTS#1,806,894$-598Vol: $4,906

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-980
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,055
Total Redeem
$462
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
70B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Month
$1
Vol: $940
All Time
$-980
Vol: $27,055

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
7W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-980
Win Rate
58%
7W / 5L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $260 (0.26534443356186743% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$97
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$88
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$75
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$38
Spread: Greece (-2.5)$33
Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)$28
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$24

Top Losers

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?$-166
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)$-60
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5$-58
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)$-38
Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.061
Sortino
0.061
HHI
609
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.4%
Top-5 markets
52.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
50%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)50% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.58
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 7:21:14 AM6 trades$9811 min
6/12/2026, 4:12:30 AM4 trades$9751 min
7/28/2026, 2:32:46 AM4 trades$9500 min
7/28/2026, 3:17:39 AM4 trades$9400 min
7/13/2026, 7:01:25 AM4 trades$9200 min
7/13/2026, 8:02:59 AM4 trades$9101 min
6/30/2026, 3:18:22 AM4 trades$7850 min
6/30/2026, 5:38:43 AM4 trades$7750 min
4/12/2026, 6:02:15 AM4 trades$6940 min
5/26/2026, 8:17:17 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/29/2026, 2:42:44 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/28/2026, 2:15:55 AM2 trades$4950 min
6/4/2026, 5:42:27 AM2 trades$4880 min
6/4/2026, 6:20:37 AM2 trades$4750 min
4/27/2026, 6:09:26 AM2 trades$4700 min
8/1/2026, 1:41:00 AM2 trades$4700 min
5/26/2026, 9:41:17 AM1 trades$4700 min
5/28/2026, 2:58:14 AM1 trades$4690 min
5/29/2026, 5:25:19 AM1 trades$4650 min
4/27/2026, 8:32:22 AM4 trades$4621 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-15
04-27
04-28
05-26
05-28
06-04
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.58/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.9 / M0 / H47.1