@stevenlii

#17,29076

0xf93c43276e48687db1a4b9c086a4ac0ec96374e0

~8d· 13 markets · 60 tradesVol: $61,7292026-08-04 23:13:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (6/13)8.1/20
15.31x (win $41,699 / loss $2,724)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.93715/15
Sortino 168.50010/10
$+6.6595 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3048 (13 markets)0/10
5/8 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($1,542 / $40,518)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+8,201
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Consistent
5/8 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 4%

Categories

3
SPORTS#6,329$8,138Vol: $61,358
📈 ECONOMICS#50,122$7Vol: $215
🏛️ POLITICS#85,700$56Vol: $156

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,201
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,729
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
14B / 46S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
6W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$8,201
Win Rate
46%
6W / 7L
Profit Factor
15.31x
Avg Win
$6,950
Avg Loss
$-454

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41,575 (5.069503177692259% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31,088
Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?$10,254
Spurs vs. Rockets$233
Spurs vs. Jazz$61
US government shutdown Saturday?$56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$7

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,542
Colombia to score first vs. Portugal?$-434
Spurs vs. Rockets$-200
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-200
Spread: Colombia (-4.5)$-197
Nuggets vs. Spurs$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.438
Sortino
6.169
HHI
8178
Concentrated
EV per $1
$4.086
Kelly %
44.0%
Half-Kelly
22.0%
Top-1 market
81.5%
Top-5 markets
144.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.1m
between trades
Night Trading
82%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 65s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)82% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)35.7%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 5:39:58 PM4 trades$9,3720 min
6/26/2026, 3:35:23 AM44 trades$7,9922 min
6/30/2026, 5:48:46 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
7/7/2026, 8:25:43 PM2 trades$2,2680 min
1/29/2026, 5:09:08 AM1 trades$3330 min
1/23/2026, 1:38:04 AM1 trades$3000 min
1/21/2026, 1:24:12 AM1 trades$2000 min
1/30/2026, 8:14:46 AM2 trades$2002 min
3/13/2026, 2:42:57 AM1 trades$1500 min
1/30/2026, 12:33:50 PM1 trades$1070 min
1/29/2026, 3:06:10 AM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
01-23
01-29
01-30
03-13
06-26
06-30
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.7 / M28.6 / H35.7