@malligator

#63,17054

0xf94d732da17b5e49b5d3228ebf00d514077f8bfb

~14d· 70 markets · 773 tradesVol: $69,2682026-08-04 18:59:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (31/70)7.1/20
1.34x (win $6,696 / loss $5,003)6.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.61415/15
Sortino 13.53610/10
$+0.1618 per $1 invested8.1/10
HHI 2338 (70 markets)0.8/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($1,074 / $1,694)1.3/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,538
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,476,126$-103Vol: $57,632
🏛️ POLITICS#13,424$1,583Vol: $7,462
SPORTS#1,570,720$-43Vol: $3,782
💰 FINANCE#18,100$100Vol: $392

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,268
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
342B / 431S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
31W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$1,538
Win Rate
44%
31W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.34x
Avg Win
$216
Avg Loss
$-143

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,616 (3.652168540714197% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$4,904
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$512
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?$200
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$180
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$171
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$117
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$74
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$72
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$45

Top Losers

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-3,079
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-266
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-183
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$-146
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$-137
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$-121
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$-89
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-86

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.231
Sortino
0.641
HHI
4468
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
63.4%
Top-5 markets
94.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.9m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 3.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.87
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)19.3%
High (>55c)79.8%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 8:15:53 AM7 trades$1,8660 min
7/3/2026, 10:09:01 PM2 trades$1,8180 min
6/22/2026, 6:55:19 AM15 trades$1,7870 min
6/22/2026, 7:10:31 AM16 trades$1,6574 min
6/15/2026, 9:08:45 AM12 trades$1,4471 min
7/1/2026, 9:11:14 PM1 trades$7790 min
6/30/2026, 2:07:02 PM32 trades$7780 min
5/28/2026, 8:22:55 AM4 trades$3650 min
6/24/2026, 8:51:50 AM2 trades$3600 min
6/30/2026, 1:58:40 PM37 trades$3543 min
6/30/2026, 3:21:02 PM10 trades$2803 min
7/1/2026, 1:13:34 AM28 trades$2287 min
7/2/2026, 4:00:28 PM19 trades$2215 min
7/3/2026, 11:15:31 AM17 trades$2207 min
6/30/2026, 7:01:41 PM20 trades$2209 min
7/1/2026, 7:07:07 PM1 trades$2180 min
7/1/2026, 7:28:47 AM23 trades$2178 min
7/2/2026, 8:33:35 PM22 trades$1994 min
7/2/2026, 6:46:56 PM12 trades$1938 min
6/29/2026, 3:20:25 PM15 trades$1702 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-25
06-27
06-29
07-01
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M19.3 / H79.8